Showing posts with label Cameos of Zion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cameos of Zion. Show all posts

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Donald Trump: -Trumpeting Trash Towering Tramp : From the new Anthology of the Bard of Bat Yam, Poet Laureate of Zion

Image result for Cartoon Satire Donald Trump: Rapist , Mysogynist


Donald Trump: -Trumpeting Trash Towering Tramp

Trump it! they say, We’re trumping tired
of vicious, vile vulgarity!
We’re shamed to claim a country where
to trump brings popularity!


Those mothertrumpers, Romney moans, 
what racist, brute barbarity!
McCain agrees, as if their party 
didn’t breed disparity.

Your trumpeting wild elephants
unleashed the likes of Sarah P.
and Cruz and Trump. So trump you, chumps!
Have you no sense of charity?

What’s that? These are the trumps along
the road to peace, prosperity?
You want to thank the brothers Koch 
who teach us true austerity?

Then why not thank the Donald, too,
conservator of parity,
who gave to both of your campaigns
and Dems. Irregularity? 

And when the beastly sons of Koch
leave no room for hilarity,
when border walls to keep us in
are no longer a rarity...

We’ll yell, trump you! The claws you bare
were once outstretched in amity.
So trump you, trump you, dump you all! 
You nurtured this calamity!

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Commentary Magazine Calls the first Presidential Debate for Clinton: Trump Blows His Best Chance


Trump Blows His Best Chance by Jonathan S. Tobin ( Republished with permission of the Author and Commentary Magazine)

AP Photo/Julio Cortez

Donald Trump came into the first presidential debate poised to build on the momentum he built during the last month as Hillary Clinton’s awful campaign erased the lead she had over the summer. But by the time the candidates left the stage at Hofstra University, a new narrative about may have been created. There will be two more debates and the outcomes of those encounters may be different. But when handed his best chance before the largest possible audience to seize control of the race, Trump blew it. Clinton emerged from the evening the clear winner having put him on the defensive without the combative billionaire being able to nail her on the very issues about her credibility that had made this a toss-up election.

Trump started the evening strong hitting Clinton hard on her blatant flip-flop on the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, interrupting her and seemed in control. But as we got further into the debate, we learned two things about these two candidates when placed alongside each other.

One was that the new Kellyanne Conway-tutored muzzled Donald Trump can still be baited into going badly off message. The other is that while Clinton still isn’t very likable or exciting, she does have (Trump’s insult notwithstanding) the stamina to spout her policy knowledge for 90 minutes and to hit him hard without absorbing many blows in return.

The basic fact about the debate that will always haunt Trump fans if he winds up losing is that he failed to take advantage of Clinton’s credibility problem and instead spent much of it flailing as he sought to explain his record spreading the birther myth, why he won’t release his tax returns, whether he stiffed small vendors who did business with his companies or if he has been guilty of discrimination or sexism. Almost no time was spent on Clinton’s email scandal and the words “Clinton Foundation” and “Benghazi” never passed his lips. No matter how they’re spinning his performance after the fact, if anyone in the Trump campaign had thought this would happen they would have assumed the debate was a devastating disappointment. Which is exactly what it was for him.

That the debate was mostly fought on Clinton’s ground was Trump’s fault, not debate moderator Lester Holt who admittedly was tougher on the GOP candidate. Trump missed chance after chance to hit her and instead went on long and confusing riffs vainly seeking to explain his weak points that were both ineffective and served to put the focus on his own lack of preparation.

What’s worse is that he may draw the wrong conclusions from his debate. If he comes out next time being even more brutal and over-aggressive than he was this time rather than being ready to give the voters more substance he may set himself up for another and different kind of defeat.

Not every moment was bad for Trump. He didn’t give substantive answers on any policy questions, but he did speak coherently about trade and the economy. But while Trump has prided himself on being a strong counter-puncher in debates this time the familiar routine fell flat. Instead it was Clinton who landed the blows and evaded most of those that were sent in her direction. It was Trump who came off looking like he was not playing fair since he continually sought to interrupt Clinton. That might have caused her to lose her cool but instead it was Trump who seemed annoyed at times by her ripostes.

Even as we score this debate a big victory for Clinton and a terrible missed opportunity for Trump, the fact remains that her vulnerabilities have not been erased and she no longer can count on the big lead that was hers in August. There will be two other chances for Trump to do better and for Clinton to seem less in charge. The precedents of Ronald Reagan in 1984 and Barack Obama in 2012, when both incumbents lost their first debates to challengers will be cited to encourage Trump supporters. But this is a very different kind of election. He is the challenger who needed to demonstrate mastery and he failed miserably on that count.

The question entering the night was whether a faltering Clinton would continue to lose ground in a contest that is hers to lose because of the Democrats’ advantages in the Electoral College and the country’s changing demographics. She didn’t and Trump will almost certainly never again have as good a chance to seize control of the race as he did Monday night. His momentum may be gone and if he loses in November, this debate may have been the moment when his long shot chance to pull an upset slipped away from him.

Trump vs. Clinton: First Debate : The Hill by 62 to 27 % calls it for Hillary. When the chips were Down, Hillary Clinton cleared the Table and then Walked off with it a very clear Winner . Way to Go Hillary Clinton.





Trump vs. Clinton: First Debate The Hill by 62 to 27 % ... when the chips were Down, Hillary Clinton cleared the Table and then Walked off with it a very clear Winner . Way to Go Hillary Clinton.

Debate of century lives up to its billing by By Niall Stanage ( Republished with permission of the author and influencial publication The Hill)


Getty Images




The first debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton lived up to its billing on Monday night as sparks flew on subjects ranging from trade deals to the fight against ISIS.

Stylistically, it was a clash between the more incisive and prepared Clinton and Trump, who leaned heavily on instinct and combativeness.


Clinton, the Democratic nominee, sought to deepen doubts about Trump’s readiness to be president, while he tried to paint her as part of an ineffective political establishment.

Clinton fared better by a wide margin in a CNN/ORC poll in the immediate aftermath, and the media consensus also seemed to lean strongly in her direction. The debate may help her squelch the momentum Trump has been enjoying over the past month or so, as a once-wide Clinton lead has dwindled.

Still, the received wisdom about how debates will affect the polls can often be premature or simply wrong.

During the Republican primary process, Trump emerged unscathed from several debate performances — as well as other controversies — that had many commentators predicting his downfall. He may also benefit from the dynamic that past challengers have enjoyed from appearing on the same stage as incumbent presidents or quasi-incumbents such as Clinton.

From the off, Clinton hammered on the doubts about the celebrity businessman that have been revealed in poll after poll.

“You have to judge us. Who can shoulder the immense, awesome responsibilities of the presidency?” she said in the debate’s opening moments.

Later, she parried an attack by Trump by asserting:

“I think Donald just criticized me for preparing for this debate. And yes I did. And you know what else I prepared for? I prepared to be president and I think that's a good thing.”

Clinton also invoked the memory of her father on several occasions, using her relatively modest upbringing to suggest she had an instinctive sense of middle-class struggle. The former secretary of State appeared to get under Trump’s skin by suggesting that his success in business was founded on money given to him by his father.

Trump delivered several lines that that will inevitably draw critical comment in the next 24 hours, and perhaps beyond. He denied having called climate change a hoax, which he has done. He also insisted once again that he had not supported the Iraq War, whereas he did in fact express such backing — albeit in a lukewarm fashion — in a 2002 interview with radio host Howard Stern.

At one point, he also asserted that Clinton had been fighting against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) “your entire adult life.” It was not immediately clear what he meant by that statement — ISIS came into being only earlier this decade — though he sought to frame it as a general indictment of an alleged ineffectiveness on the part of the Obama administration, in which Clinton served as secretary of State.

The issue of Trump’s skepticism about whether President Obama was born in the United States also reared its head again, despite the GOP nominee’s recent effort to settle it by saying he now accepts the fact of Obama’s birth in Hawaii.

“He has really started his political activity based on this racist lie that our first black president was not an American citizen,” Clinton said. “There was absolutely no evidence for it, but he persisted.”

Later, Clinton noted a number of Trump’s more derogatory descriptions of women, sounding a theme that has been pushed in her recent advertising.

Clinton stayed on offense for much of the 90-minute encounter. Some early data suggests that this could have helped her. The CNN/ORC instant poll immediately after the debate suggested that 62 percent of viewers believed Clinton won the debate against only 27 percent for Trump. The equivalent poll four years before had given Republican Mitt Romney a near-identical margin of victory over President Obama (67-25).

Forty-one percent of respondents in the CNN poll on Monday were Democrats, compared to 26 percent who were Republican.

There were moments when Trump did seem to have the upper hand, including when he pressed Clinton to defend her position on trade deals. Clinton had seemed supportive of the TransPacific Partnership (TPP) while it was being negotiated but ultimately declared her opposition to it — at a time when she was coming under significant political pressure on the topic from her left-wing rival for the Democratic nomination, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

Trump suggested that, if she were elected president, she would seek to push the TPP once again, part of his broader argument that Clinton represents politics as usual, whereas he would bring a break with the status quo.

He sounded that theme on more than one occasion, saying during a later phase of the debate, regarding the former first lady: “Typical politician. All talk. No action. Sounds good. Doesn’t work.”

The controversy over Clinton’s emails surfaced only briefly in the debate — something that immediately provoked some criticism of moderator Lester Holt from conservative quarters. When it did so, however, she called her use of a private email and server at the Department of State a mistake — and Trump had an effective comeback.

“That was more than a mistake. That was done purposely. That was not a mistake,” he said.

But whether Trump quieted the doubts about him as a plausible commander in chief is a very open question.

Even setting aside the matter of his position on the Iraq War, his responses on foreign policy late in the debate seemed to lack focus. His insistence that his “temperament” is superior to Clinton’s is not accepted by most voters, according to opinion polls.

There is also a wildcard factor to debates, where quirks of behavior from the candidates can have an outsize impact, as occurred when Al Gore sighed ostentatiously during his first debate with George W. Bush in 2000, or when Richard Nixon appeared sweaty while debating John Kennedy in 1960. On Monday night, Trump’s repeated sniffing drew considerable attention on social media. That could all be forgotten in 24 hours, or become a story all of its own.
TAGS:Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Al Gore, Presidential debate

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

#ImWithHer #VoteClintonKaineforthe45th The Hug that will go down in history


The hug that will go down in history


On Tuesday night, former President Bill Clinton spent more than 40 minutes, and covered four decades, attempting to humanize his wife, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.

A day later, President Obama did it in three seconds, with a hug that will go down in history.

Addressing the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, Obama spoke at great length about Clinton’s admirable qualities, saying, among other things, that she was the most qualified presidential candidate ever.

But it was the after-hug that, well, clinched it.


As the president basked in the highly emotional response from Democratic delegates to what may have been his last big speech to the nation, the candidate made a “surprise” appearance onstage. First pointing at each other in mutual admiration, the two stepped together. Clinton looked up into the president’s face — at 6-feet-1, he’s got at least six inches on her — and smiled, saying a few words, no doubt of gratitude.





What you missed on the third day of the Democratic National Convention. More coverage at latimes.com/trailguide. See other Democratic roundups here and catch up on the Republian convention here.

Then they each stepped into a long and full-torso embrace, after which Clinton briefly rested her head on Obama’s chest. The crowd went wild, in the arena and online.

Although undoubtedly staged to provide a front-page photo-op, The Hug quickly became a collegial version of Klimt’s “The Kiss,” except the complexity of the context and relationships involved made it a far riskier move.


Marcus Yam / Los Angeles Times

Warm hugs — the charm of “Frozen’s” Olaf notwithstanding — are notoriously tough to pull off on television. Too little physical contact for too short a time and the gesture looks awkward, a sign of emotional ambivalence or even sublimated loathing. Too tight or too long and onlookers tend to get uncomfortable and shout things like “get a room.”

And while Obama is something of a hugger — just ask Chris Christie! — Hillary Clinton is not known for her public cuddliness. Indeed, the emotional distance of her public persona has long been at odds with the warm and generous woman described by those who know her well.

It makes sense, of course; women in power have long had to fight any sign or symbol that might suggest weakness — why do you think power suits and shoulder pads were invented?

Never mind the personal peculiarities of Clinton; for the first woman with a real shot at the White House to nestle, even for a moment, on any man’s chest, particularly the one who, just eight years ago, dismissed her in debate as being “likeable enough,” well, as social media reflected in its frenzied reaction, the moment spoke volumes.

Reddit may have tried to wreck it with obligatory attempts at sexualization, but it was a lovely visual amid two weeks of scorched-earth anger, conflict and seemingly unbreachable division. Mere hours before, Donald Trump called on Russia to cyberattack the Democratic Party.

Obviously the context was political. Obama was there to pass the baton, and he needs Clinton to win for personal and professional reasons. As the president made very clear, he believes that a Trump presidency would spell utter disaster for this country. It would most certainly be a stinging repudiation of his administration, and a real part of his legacy.



Susan Walsh / Associated Press

Clinton, too, knows the importance of visibly respecting, and courting, her predecessor; Al Gore’s decision to immediately and markedly distance himself from Bill Clinton most certainly contributed to Gore’s defeat.

Obama’s speech did exactly what it set out to do; with his signature oratorical skill, Obama anointed Clinton, condemned Trump and offered an optimistic view of the world to counter the Republican’s. Like First Lady Michelle Obama, he was there to unite the Democrats, to offer respect to the still-grumbling Bernie Sanders supporters and ask the American people, in very direct language, to rally for Clinton the way they rallied for him.

But The Hug, that was something else. A physical exclamation point to the convention’s theme of unity, yes. But the embrace was so obviously an act of mutual admiration, fueled by encouragement on his part, gratitude on hers, that for just a few minutes, politics did not go on as usual. It paused and considered the complexities of professional friendship.

And frankly, only Barack Obama could have pulled it off. If Bill Clinton was, famously, our first “black” president, Obama is, in many ways, our first “female” president.

He is tall and physically graceful and has never been shy about using those attributes to full advantage; during early debates, he often leaned against stools or chairs where others sat, used his hands when speaking. Although he did appear this year to hike and eat bear-chewed salmon with Bear Grylls, he’s never embraced the horse-riding, brush-clearing, deer-hunting shorthand of other presidents. He has rarely been photographed holding a gun.

Though many wished he would, Obama never lost his temper; though many wished he wouldn’t, Obama almost always chose a path of cooperation and compromise.

From the moment he took office, he spoke often and openly about his children, insisted on making it home for dinner, often putting them to bed. His relationship with his vice president is total unabashed BFF; he’s not afraid to cry in public, or, for that matter, to sing.

Fighting, consciously or not, against stereotype, Hillary Clinton may not be at ease with public displays of affection or emotion, but Obama certainly is. As the video that played before his speech made clear, he is possibly our most physical president, here reaching out to brush the cheek of a child, there letting a boy touch his hair. He hugs often and fully, but more than that, he is often seen in physical connection, leaning shoulder to shoulder with Joe Biden or automatically pulling people closer when he shakes their hand.

So The Hug wasn’t just about him passing the baton or her expressing gratitude. It was one president saying to a possible other: “You got this, girl.”

Friday, July 29, 2016

Duma — One Year, and Three Arson Attacks, Later by Martin Sherman

Duma — One Year, and Three Arson Attacks, Later by Martin Sherman ( Guest)

The aftermath of a Duma arson attack. Photo: Wikipedia.
The aftermath of a Duma arson attack. Photo: Wikipedia.
“I saw Sa’ad and Reham burning on the ground. Next to them were TWO masked men, one beside each of them. They were dressed in jeans and black long-sleeved shirts…“Their faces were covered with a balaclava, with only the mouth and eyes visible. The street light  shone directly on them. I was horrified by what I saw. They saw me and I was frightened and ran back home. I told my brother Bishar to get help and returned to Sa’ad’s house where I no longer saw the TWO masked men – Eye-witness account of Duma arson attack by Ibrahim Dawabsheh, a relative of the victims, Amira Hass, Haaretz,  July 31, 2015.
“According to the charge sheet, [on] the night of the attack on the Dawabsheh home, Ben-Uliel decided to proceed with the arson ALONE…He allegedly searched for a home that was inhabited and used his first firebomb on a two-storey building that turned out to be uninhabited. He then proce[e]ded to the Dawabshehs’ home, prepared his firebomb in the yard and spray-painted graffiti on the walls, before throwing the firebomb into the house and fleeing on foot.” – Chaim Levinson and Barak Ravid,Haaretz Jan. 3, 2016.
A year ago — almost to the day — on July 31, 2015, the entire country was horrified by reports of three members of the Dawabsheh family from the village of Duma being burnt to death in an arson attack on their home. Graffiti, in Hebrew script painted on the walls of the burnt out residence, led to the precipitous conclusion that the act was committed by “Jewish terrorists”. Since that deplorable attack, at least three more houses of the Dawabsheh clan have been torched –as were two prior to it–without any hint of involvement of “Jewish extremists.
But more on that later
Rabid reverse racism?
The ghastly tragedy ignited a flurry of self-righteous handwringing and sanctimonious self-recrimination across wide sections of Israeli society — and almost all sections of the mainstream media. In a stroke, all external threats to the nation faded into near insignificance. Attention was no longer focused on the looming specter of a nuclear Iran, or the threat of radical Islam pressing against the country’s beleaguered frontiers. Suddenly the existential threat facing Israel was that of “Jewish terror” — the “menace” of a few dozen, marginalized, scraggly youth that inhabit the desolate windswept hilltops of Judea-Samaria.
Without a shred of evidence to corroborate their accusations, journalist after journalist seemed to compete in the levels of acrimony in which they attacked the assumed perpetrators. With unquestioning confidence — as unequivocal as it was unsubstantiated–regarding the collective identity of the perpetrators, and the collective guilt of Israeli society at large for the heinous nature of the act, they launched into a savage frenzy of self-flagellation.
Thus, barely two days after the arson attack, in an astounding piece of rabid reverse racism entitled “We’re no better than our enemies,” Yediot Aharonot’s Sima Kadmon lamented: “…let no one say that this is a lone incident… Jewish terrorists are just the messengers; there is a well-oiled system of incitement behind them… it’s time to tell the truth, the heartbreaking but inevitable one: After a generation of right-wing rule, we have developed a race…[n]ot proud, not generous, but definitely cruel…”
“Israelis identical with ISIS”
In a flash, all distinction between Israelis and ISIS was erased.
Think I am exaggerating? Think again! Here is a sampling of the” anguished” soul-searching that became the fashionable journalistic ritual in the mainstream media.
On the very night of the dreadful crime, Ynet news’s Ron Ben Yishai had already solved the case. In “How to stop Jewish jihad,” he determined — definitively — “…this is religious-messianic terrorism, committed by people who view themselves as acting according to God’s true will. In simpler words – this is Jewish jihadism, identical in every detail to Islamic jihadism.”
In her previously mentioned piece, Sima Kadmon concurred in “agonized” agreement: “It’s over. If we thought it couldn’t happen among us, that we’re not like that, that Jews don’t do such things, that only they can murder children, go into houses and shoot a baby point blank, burn families, execute murderous terror – that’s it, it’s over. We are, we can and we do. Burn children alive, execute murderous, inhuman, incomprehensible terror. And no, we’re no better than them.”
And then there was the ever-egregious Gideon Levy, the every-day Judeophobe’s dream-come-true, who, a day after the tragedy, published in Haaretz a collective condemnation, headlined: “All Israelis are guilty of setting a Palestinian family on fire.” According to Levy: “Israelis stab gay people and burn children. There isn’t a shred of slander, the slightest degree of exaggeration, in this dry description…”
It did not take long for this barrage to bear bitter fruit. Panicked by the media assault, the political echelons and the security forces threw due process to the wind.
“Little but accusations of thought-crimes”?
Within days, administrative arrests were made. Meir Ettinger, Eviatar Slonim and Mordechai Meir were incarcerated without trial, reportedly on suspicion of involvement in the Duma arson.
The arrests were accompanied by ominous warnings of the impending perils to the nation, entailed in the nefarious deeds, both past and planned, of the detainees, who were held incommunicado for extended periods, without any specific charges being brought against them. Persistent rumors of the use of harsh interrogation techniques abounded — but no charges were ever brought.
One after the other, the detainees were eventually released — Meir in early January, Slonim in early February and Ettinger in June this year.
The case of Ettinger particularly reeks of needless mean-spiritedness. In April, in a ruling upheld by the Supreme Court, he was denied — after months in detention — permission to attend the circumcision ceremony (brit mila) of his newly born son. The grounds for the denial were that he still remained “a security threat to the public.” Yet barely a month later, it was announced that he would be released — without charge!
In a disturbing review of the Ettinger episode, Tablet’s Liel Leibovitz  wrote: “Having met with government officials as well as friends and family members, and having extensively reviewed Ettinger’s public and private writing alike, I’ve found plenty that might upset people who do not share his politics but nothing to suggest that the mystically-minded smiling young man had any concrete involvement whatsoever in planning or carrying out any concrete attacks against anyone.”
He added, damningly: “In fact, it is hard, reviewing the evidence, not to conclude that the charges against Ettinger amount to little else but accusations of thought-crimes.”
Deafening silence
The fate of the detainees — unsurprisingly but depressingly — has led to little or no outrage from the usually strident defenders of human rights.  Indeed, what is looking increasingly like draconian abuse of power, arbitrary violation of civil liberties and a troubling incarceration for little more than “thought crimes” has been greeted with deafening silence by the vociferous chorus of left-leaning voices, always eager to denounce any hint of excess use of governmental power.
Indeed, later developments are not more reassuring.
In early December 2015, the Israeli authorities detained 21-year-old Aviram Ben-Uliel, by administrative arrest. After keeping silent for almost three weeks, Ben-Uliel was, for reasons yet unclear, declared a “ticking time bomb” (i.e. a source of clear and present danger), and subjected to torture to extract a confession. On the basis of this confession, an indictment was filed (January 3, 2016) against him — and another unnamed minor, charged with aiding Ben-Uliel, but not of actually perpetrating the arson.
Based on the confession obtained under duress — which he subsequently retracted — the indictment against Ben-Uliel is troubling for a number of reasons. For as Chaim Levinson of Haaretz points out, it is significantly at odds with the eyewitness accounts of what took place on the night of the lethal arson.
Disturbing discrepancies  
All of these accounts refer to multiple assailants — at least two — as reflected in the opening excerpt from Ibrahim Dawabsheh, described as a “key witness” in the case. Yet in the confession-based indictment, Ben-Uliel is accused of acting alone!
Moreover, initial accounts mention the use of a motor vehicle — and some arrests were even made on the basis of those accounts – see “Jewish terror suspects indicted, but convictions, if any, will be long in the making” –Haartez, January 4, 2016.
Accordingly, it is difficult to resist raising the troubling question that, if the initial determinations in this case (multiple perpetrators, involvement of a motor vehicle) have apparently proved “unfounded,” could it not be within the bounds of possibility that other aspects of the original assumptions might prove equally unfounded, including not only the number of assailants, and their mode of mobility, but also their identity, and even, heaven forfend… their ethnicity?
In the past, I have dealt extensively with the Duma arson (i.e. the July 2015 one, as opposed to all the other previous-and subsequent-ones). I warned against:
(a) Drawing any equivalence between ideo-politically motivated crimes by Jewish extremists, and the Arab/Islamic terror Israel faces today — and hence between the measures that should be used to contend with them; and
(b) The almost Pavlovian-reflex to presume Jewish guilt in the lethal torching of the Dawabsheh home.
Jewish hate crimes and vandalism are NOT terrorism (8/6/2015); Trivializing ‘terror’(8/13/2015); Why now? The hypocritical hullabaloo over Jewish ‘terror’ (8/20/2015);Duma, ‘dirty dancing’ & deeply disturbing detention (12/31/2015);  Presumption of guilt(1/7/2016);  Jewish ‘terror’ – A guide for the perplexed (1/14/2016).
Drawing distinctions
I have little doubt that the arguments I raised then are still valid today. Accordingly, I would urge readers to review my analyses as to why it is imperative to draw a qualitative distinction between Arab terrorism and the terrorist organizations that perpetrate it, on the one hand, and the groups of Jewish radical religious renegades, on the other – as well as the detrimental consequences such misplaced parallels entail for Israel.
Likewise, I argued that state use of draconian extra-judicial powers – such as administrative detention without charge, holding detainees incommunicado for months and the denial of “due process” – may well be justified when dealing with threats involving state/quasi-state/state-backed foes, with massive budgets and international reach.
This, however, is certainly not the case when the alleged menace emanates from minuscule groups of youngsters in their teens (or barely out of them), marginal and marginalized not only in Israeli society at large, but in much of their closer societal environs as well, with no international reach and only the most meager of resources at their disposal.
Of course I do not know if Ben-Uliel is guilty as charged. But one thing is certain: he is no Bin Laden, or Hassan Nasrallah — and the measures needed to contend with him, or any group he may be affiliated with, are — or should be — very different from those needed to contend with the likes of Bin Laden/Nasrallah, their organizations or their minions.
What you need to believe
But to give credence to the claim that Ben-Uliel is indeed guilty as charged, what do you necessarily have to believe?
Well, you would have to believe that: Ben Uliel, a recently married man and the father of an infant girl, without any special forces training; (a) had the “cojones” and the skill, not only to walk over five kilometers — late at night — unnoticed, to reach the village; (b) but that he by-passed numerous, more-exposed, alternative targets on the outskirts of the village; (d) that he managed to infiltrate, undetected and unarmed, into the center of a unfriendly village; (e) set one uninhabited building ablaze; (f) then, still undetected, sprayed copious amounts of paint to write the incriminating Hebrew graffiti; (g) then torched the Dawabsheh home; and (h) finally, make a phantom-like escape, egressing the village without trace, never mind being apprehended, leaving no trail or clue to indicate where he had vanished to — all this entirely on his own!!
Is that really credible??
But that’s not all. If Ben-Uliel was merely looking for a random Arab target, why would he not choose a house on the outskirts of the village rather than one in the center, making escape easier? And why would he choose Duma – a village in which the Dawabsheh clan’s homes were being regularly targeted anyway? Perhaps under “enhanced interrogation,” he came up with a plausible answer?
These are troubling questions. One year — and three unsolved arson attacks — later, they are questions that must be faced.
Martin Sherman (www.martinsherman.org) is the founder and executive director of the Israel Institute for Strategic Studies. (www.strategic-israel.org)
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Monday, June 6, 2016

A Jewish Love Story in Zion

Reprinted unedited from YNet with permission

He's a religious widower politician who lives in the settlements; she's a secular divorcée who heads a Tel Aviv museum; in their first joint interview, Knesset Speaker Yuli Edelstein and his fiancée share their love story.

When Irina Nevzlin was 13 years old, her grandmother took her on a visit to Israel.


“We arrived from Russia to the Western Wall, and I must admit I had no idea what all these stones were. I hardly knew I was Jewish,” she says. “But despite my ignorance, I remember standing there and crying for hours. And I am not someone who cries easily. Maybe that’s why I remember that experience so well. Today, I know that was the most meaningful moment in my life. That was the beginning of my journey towards Judaism and Israel.”

  
This coming summer, Nevzlin, 37, and Knesset Speaker Yuli Edelstein, 57, will get married in Jerusalem. “I have no doubt that ahead of the wedding, I will go back to the Western Wall, which had such a profound meaning in my life,” she says.


A few days afterwards, the couple will have their wedding party at the Ronit Ranch with hundreds of guests, including the prime minister and Israel’s top political echelons.


“At first, we were nervous about the number of invites, especially Irina,” says Edelstein. “She spoke with one of her friends, and said ‘I can understand why we have a lot of people on his side, he has to invite a lot of people because of politics and the demands of the office. But why do I need so many guests?’ and her wise friend said to her ‘maybe it’s because you are finally at home?’ I think that the fact that after only 10 years in Israel, Irina has so many friends, really says a lot.”

Edelstein and Nevzlin (Photo: Alex Kolomoisky)
Edelstein and Nevzlin (Photo: Alex Kolomoisky)


Their relationship is surprising on many levels; not only because of the 20 years that separate them, but also because of the difference in background and life story. Edelstein, a Zionist activist who taught Hebrew in secret, is a religious resident of Gush Etzion. Nevzlin is a non-practicing, secular Jewish woman living in a villa in Herzliya Pituach. And yet, in their first joint interview, they stress that the things they have in common far outweigh the differences: The memories they share from Moscow, the Jewish identity in a hostile environment, and the Russian language that rolls off their tongues when there is no one else around – all these things help love prevail.


A combination of luck and smarts

Our meeting takes place in Nevzlin’s offices in the Diaspora Museum, where she serves as Chairwoman of the Board of Directors. It’s hard to detect any evidence of the fortune father is believed to have. Leonid Nevezlin, who was one of the heads of the Yukos Oil Company, made his big fortune when Boris Yeltzin was President of Russia. Coffee is served in plastic cups from the coffee-shop on the floor above us, and Irina walks around wearing a T-shirt, jeans and sneakers.


Is it important to you to shatter the image of the oligarch’s daughter?


“I am not concerned with the image. I was born in a humble blue-collar neighborhood, finished my BA and MA degrees in economics, and started working while I was still a student. The course of my life was very normal. I understand the need to see the world through stigmas, and I don’t intend to fight it. But in my daily life, I simply go to work. There is some sort of conceptual confusion in Israel. The word ‘Oligarch’ is used here to describe a very wealthy Russian, while the real meaning of the term is someone who is close to the regime. But I don’t live by images, I simply live my life. As for the clothes, I always have a jacket and high-heel shoes in the closet if the need arises.”


Such need arises these days mainly when meeting with potential donors and asking for their help in the extensive renovations of the Diaspora Museum. As part of the renovations, a new, state-of-the-art wing will be opened at the end of the month devoted to current, lighter aspects of modern Judaism. The goal, says Nevzlin, is to bring new audiences to the museum, people who haven’t been interested in the museum so far.


“I’ve talked to her about her modesty many times before,” says future-husband Edelstein. “I told her it’s probably a combination of luck and smarts. Luck – because she grew up in a blue-collar neighborhood in Moscow and was not surrounded by luxury. And smarts – because when she had the opportunity to live a life of opulence and wealth, she chose not to, continued to do her work and realized that there are things that are more important than money.”


She was born in 1978, the daughter of two engineers - Leonid and Anna. “Following the divorce, I lived with my mother and her husband,” she says. “In Russia, the only religion was Communism, and we were forbidden to speak about our Judaism. When I was seven years old, someone called me ‘Jew’ in a derogative way, and grandma, who was a teacher at my school, decided it was time to tell me the truth.


“’I am going to tell you two things,’ she said to me. ‘There are two Jews in this entire school. You and I. And we are not going to say another word about it ever again.’


“That is all I heard until that visit to the Western Wall. When I was 14, I transferred to a Jewish school, and it was there that I felt I belonged to a group bigger than my family for the first time. That I was a Jew. That feeling is connected to my work at the museum.”



Edelstein and Nevzlin (Photo: Raphael Delouya)
Edelstein and Nevzlin (Photo: Raphael Delouya)


During her MA studies Nevzlin started working with Mikhail Khodorkovsky, her father’s partner in Yukos. “Khodorkovsky asked me to establish a philanthropic foundation that would help talented students go to the best universities in the world, and then return home to build the New Russia. Khodorkovsky was the one who made me look forward and think on a wider scale.”


In 2003, after expressing harsh criticism against Putin, Khodorkovsky was imprisoned for 10 years for tax violations, followed by the nationalization of Yukos Oil Company by the state. He was declared “Prisoner of Conscience” by Amnesty International, and after his release, he went on voluntary exile in Switzerland.


The day Khodorkovsky entered prison, Nevzlin quit her job. “He was imprisoned because of his views, and because of Yukos’s success,” she says. “I went to every office of every editor-in-chief of every newspaper in Russia, and said ‘a man of his stature, with his image and his everything he has done for Russian society – it’s just unheard of. We were at a constitutive and defining moment in Russian’s history, after the fall of communism. Until his imprisonment, we felt like we had freedom of speech and we could do business. But suddenly it turned out that if you don’t toe the government line – you go to prison. It was clear that after they got Khodorkovsky, they will find their way to my father.”


After Khodorkovsky’s arrest, Nevzlin’s father fled to Israel. In 2008, he was convicted by a Russian court of conspiracy to commit murder, and was sentenced in absentia to life in prison. Nevzlin vehemently denied all the accusations, and claimed it was a spectacle trial. Israel, in turn, denied all extradition demands made by Russia.


Did you feel threatened personally?


“For a few weeks, after my father had left Russia, I knew that there was always someone following me, driving behind me. They didn’t try to hide it. It’s part of the KGB method, and it’s done to send a message. As one who didn’t grow up in the Soviet era, this reality was very foreign to me. But I’ve always heard about it. What was happening brought back all the stories I grew up with.”


Edelstein remembers his time in Russia. “We both experienced persecution,”’ he says. “The things she went through reminded me of my own experiences. The surveillance is mainly a form of psychological pressure that is applied when everywhere you go, you have a shadow, someone following you, and even bump into you on the street on purpose. I remember one time when I was with friends, and we had to go to a certain address. A car was following us, and we lost our way while they moved on to the address they were given. And then, in the middle of the road, the driver made a U-turn and raced toward us because he thought we were trying to pull a brilliant maneuver.”


Goodbye to Russia

In December 1984, Edelstein was falsely convicted of possession of drugs and sent to three years of imprisonment at a hard labor camp near Lake Baikal.


“Because I was teaching Hebrew, the authorities used to come and turn my library upside down and confiscate my books. That one time, before I was arrested, the search of my house began as usual. The investigators brought two cardboard boxes form a nearby grocery store, and collected all the foreign books. But then, one of the investigators pulled out a match and said ‘there are many witnesses who saw me take this box from the shelf.’ Inside the box, they claimed, were drugs, and a few days later I was arrested for possession. When I tell this to people, they ask me ‘were you really using?’ Irina never asked me that. She understands.”



Edelstein and Nevzlin
Edelstein and Nevzlin


In May 1987, after being incarcerated for two years and eight months, Edelstein was released from prison. On the day of his release, he told his friends that the date according to the Jewish calendar was the 5th of Iyar, Israel’s Independence Day. So this year, at the traditional torch-lighting ceremony, Edelstein also celebrated 29 years of freedom.


“During the ceremony I usually say ‘in honor of Jerusalem, in honor of the Knesset.’ This time, the dedication was in hope of an ‘honorable and sane discourse in Israel’ – the main issue and the real threat to society today.”


Nevzlin left Russia for London in 2003, and never returned. “I don’t wish to go back to a country in which my father is a wanted man,” she says. “When I left I didn’t know I was leaving Russia never to return. It took several months for me to realize that I wasn’t going back. I called my mother a few months after I arrived in London, and said ‘I don’t think I’ll stay here forever, but I do know where I am not going back to.’ This feeling, that you can be a citizen with equal rights, freedom of choice and freedom of speech, the fact that you are living in a democratic system that works for your benefit – I found it enchanting.”


In London, she worked for a strategic consulting firm. “One Friday evening, we were in a meeting that just went on and on,” she remembers, “and a nice guy wearing a yarmulke came over and asked me ‘what are you doing tonight?’ I was all alone there, so I admitted that I didn’t know, and he invited me to his home for Shabbat dinner. Somehow he realized that I was Jewish and alone in the city. This nice guy was Lord John Mendelson, and we continue doing things together. At present, he’s helping me raise money for the museum.”


In 2006, after three years in London, Nevzlin decided to immigrate to Israel. “My mother was tired of being away from everybody, and decided to make aliyah. I told her I’ll come and help her settle in, as I have been here several times before, and knew a few people. I took a night-flight, got into my seat, closed my eyes, and at that moment I just knew that I was making aliyah. That I, too, am going to Israel to stay.”


Did you know what you were going to do in Israel?


“I went to consult with Rabbi Firer, and we had a very interesting conversation. This meeting led to the creation of the ‘Israeli Center for a Better Childhood,’ which was established to contribute to the welfare and advancement of Israeli children who are in need of help in the fields of education and health.”


At the same time, Nevzlin began working with the Diaspora Museum. In this capacity she met Yuli Edelstein. “Our first meeting took place many years ago – my father introduced us during one of his visits here,” she says. “Afterwards, we got to meet a few times as part of my work at the Diaspora Museum, when Yuli was minister of information and the Diaspora. We had some joint projects, and used to hold consultations on different issues.”

A non-political relationship 

Edelestein’s wife, Tania, died of cancer three years ago. Nevzlin divorced her architect husband Michael Cogan a year and a half ago. The meeting that would kindle their romantic relationship took place several months later, in May 2015.


“We met at a Tel Aviv café,” Edelstein recalls. “Before then, I was married and wasn’t looking for a romantic relationship. Once, after we had gotten together, I told her ‘you have no idea how kind I was to you and how serious I was about you.’ During the primaries, she wanted to set up a meeting to consult with me on something, and I dropped everything and came.”


What can you tell us about the marriage proposal?


Edelstein: “I proposed 25 times before she said ‘yes.’”


Nevzlin: “After the divorce, I decided that I was never going to marry again, that I need to be by myself, that it’s more convenient this way. I’m an independent person, sometimes too independent. But one can’t ignore the heart, and whatever happened - happened.”


Edelstein: “And then, not only did she agree to marry me, she also agreed not to wear jeans.”



Edelstein and Nevzlin
Edelstein and Nevzlin


Edelstein, you’re a religious man living in a settlement, and Nevzlin, you’re a secular woman living in Herzliya Pituach. Were you not bothered by the differences?


Nevzlin: “It works fine with my pluralistic world view. On a day-to-day basis, it may not always be easy, but there is mutual respect, and of course there is love. On Friday evening we do Kiddush, a novelty for me, and my children are very happy about it. I’m happy too, because it creates a homey feeling, which is very moving for me.”


Edelstein: “The move to Herzliya was not easy for me. It’s not a case of tossing a coin to decide where we are going to live. My children are grown and independent, but Irina has two school-aged children. It’s a very different way of life for me. I made aliyah on July 12, 1987, and on July 13 I was already in Gush Etzion. At a certain point, when we realized that this relationship was meaningful and serious, we fantasized about living in two separate homes. But in the end, we decided that I would move to her house. To her credit, Irina did everything it took so that I don’t have to eat from plastic plates.


“On my first Shabbat in Herzliya, I found a synagogue to my liking. One of the people there was even a volunteer in my campaign during the last primaries. It’s not as if I found myself in Singapore. Herzliya has quite a few Jews living there, thank God.”


Nevzlin: “This is not Tel Aviv, which would’ve been a lot harder for him to adjust to. We have our own private quiet corner. There are a lot of similarities in our lifestyles. Unlike many of my friends who only live in the Tel Aviv bubble, we both live in many other places as well. We go to meetings all the time, and travel a lot. Both of us are very open and curious people.”


Edelstein: “To her credit, Irina is not the type of person to just shout slogans. She is ready to consider new things. On Passover’s Chol Hamoed (the interim days—ed.) we visited some very interesting places that she has never been to before.”


Nevzlin: “We were in Hebron. When Yuli suggested I go there with him, I felt no reservations. I have a need to feel the country and get to know it, and the notion of seeing it with him made it even more appealing. My visit to the Cave of the Patriarchs, for instance, was an emotional experience similar to the one I had as a little girl of 13 at the Western Wall. I stood next to the tomb of Abraham, and felt a connection to something very ancient and strong. But yes, it also crossed my mind that this place is not entirely ours. That this is the cradle of all nations.”


Edelstein: “We have to agree on one basic premise: We’re not going to disappear from here, and neither are the Arabs. We have to live together. We have to drop the slogans and start building connections with our neighbors. We won’t go back to the '67 borders, and we won’t divide Jerusalem. It’s just not going to happen. I am a pragmatic person, and out of my pragmatism I am telling you that it’s not going to happen. When we begin having talks that will eventually lead to peace, we will all laugh about these questions that seem so critical now—what will we do about the Western Wall? In a two states for two nations solution, where exactly is the border going to be?”


And where do you stand politically, Nevzlin?


Nevzlin: “A part of Yuli’s job is to define his political voice, but I am exempt from it. My job at the Diaspora Museum, a place that adopts an inclusive pluralistic approach, requires me to be a-political outwardly. On the other hand, I am very interested in politics. I follow the election campaign in the US very closely, and try to understand the feelings of need and distress of the public, which are reflected in the American presidential campaign.”


Their wedding is going to be big, they say, but not exuberant. “At first, we were worried about what people would say, because we really did invite a lot of guests, but then we realized that we are not faking anything. If anyone expects rivers of champagne and mountains of caviar, they will be disappointed,” says Edelstein.


Nevzlin is quick to add that “these champagne and caviar events are exactly the ones we usually avoid.”


One thing is clear. Since the prime minister is expected to attend, the security measures will be very tight. Even the food is going to be screened.


They plan to donate all the wedding gifts to NGOs that support lone soldiers. “Life goes on in a very surprising way,” says Edelstein. “After Tania’s death, I had no idea this could happen. I am a professional survivor. I wasn’t worried about being heartbroken for the rest of my life, but I also couldn’t imagine that I would be interviewed about a new love. That was the last thing on my mind. And to all my well-wishers who kept asking, ‘why are you sitting all alone three months….six months…a year….’ I replied that I don’t see myself in another relationship. ‘I haven’t forgotten the woman I shared my life with for 33 years,’ I said. But even if we don’t expect it, life is more powerful than anything we could imagine. I don’t know what I did to deserve this privilege, but I was lucky to meet a woman like Irina.”


Diaspora Museum’s new wing includes Bob Dylan 

The new wing at the Diaspora Museum, or as it’s now called “Beit Hatfusot – the Museum of the Jewish People,” will be opened at the end of the month. Contrary to expectations, this new wing holds a modern, light approach, easily accessible to a younger audience, and concentrating on recent history – World Judaism in the last 200 years. The new wing features TV screens that show video clips of Sephardi and Ashkenazi synagogues, both Orthodox and Reform; videos and songs by Bob Dylan that express his complicated dialogue with Judaism; stand-up skits with Jackie Levy and Kobi Arieli; a special exhibition dedicated "Operation Moses,” the covert evacuation of Ethiopian Jews from Sudan during a famine in 1984; and even pictures of women wearing tefillin (phylacteries—ed.).


The people behind the new wing, as well as the other changes done at the museum, are the chairwoman of the board, Irina Nevzlin, and the general manager, Dan Tadmor. The project cost $100 million: $20 million came from the state, the Nevzlin family added another $20 million, and the rest came from donations.


“In 2003, there were those who said that this place should be shut down,” says Nevzlin. “It was old and dull, and the number of visitors was the same as the number of employees. But closing it wasn’t an easy decision to make. Especially because of all the unique items that have been accumulated there. You need to understand, the Diaspora Museum opened in 1978. The plans started way back in the 60s, stemming from the desire to tell the history of the Jewish Diaspora, with the prevailing notion at that time that all Jews are supposed, at one point or another, to move to Israel. Over the years, the number of Jews in the world rose, and the Diaspora Jewish community continued being a living, breathing and growing organism. Right now, less than half of the world’s Jews live in Israel.


“The museum was not only technologically outdated, it was conceptually outdated,” says Nevzlin. “Jews around the world could no longer consider the museum their home. Think of an American Jewish tourist coming to the Diaspora Museum, and being told a story that is completely disconnected from his reality. His life is in the United States, and the museum is pushing him to make aliyah. How can he feel connected to that? The message was offensive, and drove tourists away.”


The people behind the original idea were Natan Sharansky, the former chairman of the board, and Shlomo Lahat, who occupied this position before him. Both of them felt that the way the museum was being managed , there was no reason to continue the flow of government funds.


Next, Leonid Nevzlin, Irina’s father, got involved. He established a philanthropic NGO, the “Nadav Fund,” that helped raise donations for the museum.


“The fund supports initiatives that advance the understanding of the concept of Jewish peoplehood, the building of the collective Jewish identity, and the forming of long-term connections among Jews all over the world,” says Nevzlin.


In 2006, she joined a meeting with her father and Sharansky. “My father said: ‘The only reason to keep the museum going is if it tells a never-ending story, the story of the Jewish people of today. There are enough history museums.’ This sentence stayed with me.”


Irina was appointed as a member of the board of directors, acted as deputy chairman, and later accepted the offer to chair the board.


She doesn’t deny that her appointment was at first met with a certain amount of suspicion from those thinking the position was given to her only because of her father’s money and connections.


“I think it’s quite natural,” she says. “Even when I hear that somebody’s son was appointment for something, the first thing that crosses my mind is that this job was arranged for him. But before I became chairwoman, I served as they deputy-chair for two years, and I was very involved in everything. So there were all sorts of rumors, mainly from the outside world, but it didn’t interfere with the work.”


As part of the changes she is leading, Nevzlin wants to focus not only on the Jewish people’s disasters, but also on stories of success.


“Because this nation, even in the Diaspora, didn’t just survive. People were successful, influential, became connected. You can’t reduce Jewish history to the Holocaust and nothing else. People constantly confuse the Diaspora Museum with Yad Vashem, but the difference is significant. Yad Vashem focuses on a very important story, which we must continue telling. But there are another 5,000 years of Jewish history that aren’t mentioned there. And that is the story we are telling.”


In Israel, there is a vigorous debate regarding to what degree the memory of the Holocaust needs to be preserved.


“The Holocaust is what finally brought us to this country. It should have a place, but not as the only and central issue. It has to be put in context that allows us to look at the future as well. Because if we only concentrate on the past, we will remain there.”


Why did you choose Bob Dylan?


Bob Dylan and “Operation Moses” are temporary exhibitions. We thought that to strengthen the sense of belonging, we should speak to everyone’s heart. Some people can relate to the fascinating Jewish story through music. One of the reasons we chose Bob Dylan and not Leonard Cohen, for example, is that we wanted to present someone who has questions about his Jewish belief. To show that it’s OK to doubt. You don’t have to be certain that the fact you are Jewish is necessarily the best thing to ever happen to you. The answers are not always clear cut.”


Did you deliberately choose a more pluralistic approach?


“Yes. We want to tell everybody’s story – to show that a woman can serve as a cantor, to show Reform and Conservative synagogues. I believe we should make room for everybody. Present everyone. We uploaded all the material we have onto the internet. Anyone with some basic knowledge about his grandfather’s family name or the town he came from can enter the site and try to locate his family tree.”


Did you?


“Of course. I found that my grandfather and grandmother met at a dance party in Crimea, when he lived in St. Petersburg and she in Moscow. But two generations prior to that, they lived in two 'shtetles' in Belarus, which were a mere three kilometers apart. So they actually came full circle.”

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Hyperinflation in Zion again? Hell NO!!!!

A well-known photo shows children playing with worthless Germany money. At inflation's peak, 1 dollar traded at 4.2 trillion Deutsche Marks..

On the 28th January 1986 , my seventh day as an new immigrant and aleh chadash in Zion, I picked up the Jerusalem Post and what first caught my eye was a small boxed article all of 3 inches that read . "Bank of Israel increases Bank Rate by 6.2%" . Whow ....I read the article out load and inquired of the 20 Maagan Micha'el Poalei Tzion ,in the Plasson Factory's Take 5 Recreation Tea Break Room , "Annually,? (I inquired, a bit incredulous, seemed high) ". Hell No", they answered the recent MA in Economics (Summa cum Laude) graduate from the University of Cape Town, in unison ..... "Don't be an total ignoramus , Steve, the increase is just from last Thursday". In January 1986 Israel was suffering from runaway hyperinflation, over a thousand percent per annum,.... t took a remarkable Unity Government headed by Yitzchak Shamir and Shimon Peres (in rotation) holdings hands or perhaps under the whip of Milton Friedman to tame Zion's hyperinflation and that the threesome did so within a single year. A remarkable achievement.

The table below released by the Bank of Israel continues to include a report on 1-year inflation expectations derived from the capital market using models calculated at the Bank of Israel. These models derive the expected rate of inflation based on the difference between the yield on nominal government bonds and the yield on CPI-indexed government bonds. The table will also continue to present the forecasts of commercial banks and economic consulting companies. Beginning with this publication, the table will also report 1-year inflation expectations derived from banks’ internal interest rates.

Due to the long and varying time horizon in which monetary policy impacts on inflation, the Monetary Committee, in the framework of its discussions to set policy, examines all ranges of expectations, including medium and long term forward expectations, which provide information on the inflation environment expected over time. Therefore, the presented range of inflation expectations derived from the capital market was expanded, so that it includes expectations for the coming year, for the second year forward, the third year forward, the expectations for annual inflation from the end of the third year to the end of the fifth year, and expectations for the coming five years. In addition, the table also presents expectations for a longer period of time, beginning with the end of the fifth year to the end of the tenth year.

Date
Calculated from capital market1
Average of the inflation forecasts for the 12 months ahead4
1-year inflation expectations derived from internal interest rates5
For the first year
For the second year
(forward)
For the third year (forward)
For years 3–5 (forward)2
For five years
For years 5–10 (forward)3
Annual data:
2010
2.6
2.8
2.9
3.0
2.9
2.5
2.7
2.7
2011
2.5
2.7
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.4
2.8
2.7
2012
2.1
2.7
3.0
2.6
2.6
2.3
2.3
2.1
2013
1.7
2.4
2.6
2.4
2.3
2.4
1.8
1.6
2014
1.2
1.8
2.2
2.0
1.8
2.3
1.3
1.0
2015
0.6
1.3
1.4
1.6
1.3
2.0
0.8
0.4
Monthly data:
2015
January
0.5
1.0
1.4
1.7
1.3
2.2
0.6
0.3
February
0.8
1.2
1.5
1.7
1.4
2.1
0.7
0.2
March
0.7
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.4
2.0
1.0
0.5
April
0.6
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.3
2.0
1.1
0.6
May
0.9
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.5
2.0
1.1
0.6
June
1.1
1.6
1.5
1.6
1.5
2.1
1.1
0.7
July
1.0
1.6
1.5
1.6
1.4
2.0
1.0
0.7
August
0.5
1.2
1.3
1.6
1.3
2.0
0.8
0.4
September 
0.4
1.2
1.3
1.6
1.2
2.1
0.5
0.2
October
0.5
1.0
1.1
1.7
1.2
2.0
0.5
0.2
November
0.3
1.1
1.2
1.6
1.2
2.0
0.7
0.3
December
0.1
0.9
1.3
1.6
1.1
2.0
0.6
0.2
2015
January
0.3-
0.6
1.0
1.4
0.8
2.2
0.4
0.2-
February
0.3-
0.6
0.9
1.4
0.8
2.1
0.4
0.3-
March
0.0
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.0
2.1
0.5
0.1-
April
0.1
1.0
1.3
1.4
1.0
2.1
0.7
0.1
Current data6
0.2
1.0
1.3
1.4
1.1
2.2
0.7
0.2
1 Inflation expectations derived from the capital market are defined as the ratio between the yields on unindexed government bonds and the yields on CPI-indexed government bonds (breakeven inflation). They include an inflation-risk premium component and various biases deriving from the differences in taxation and liquidity between different types of bonds. For an explanation of how the expectations are calculated click on the following link:
Forward expectations are the expectations for the inflation rate over a future period. The forward rates—exp(j,k)—are derived from the inflation expectations for j years and k years. That is:
pict2.png
   With exp(j,k) the forward expectations for inflation from the end of year j to the end of year k. For example, exp(3,5) is the expected rate of inflation from the end of the third year to the end of the fifth year. Exp(k) is the inflation expectation for k years—for example, for 5 years. All expectations data are presented in annual terms.
2  Forward expectations for full years, from the end of the third year to the end of the fifth year.
3  Forward expectations for full years, from the end of the fifth year to the end of the tenth year.
4  The simple arithmetic mean of the inflation forecasts of commercial banks and economic consulting companies that provide their forecasts to the Bank of Israel on a regular basis.
5  Expectations derived from the internal interest rates of the five large banks, calculated as the ratio between unindexed interest rates and CPI-indexed interest rates. The internal interest rate is calculated for each bank as the average of its marginal price for raising funds (deposits) and its marginal price for allocating uses (credit).
6  For expectations derived from the capital market and expectations based on internal interest rates—average for the CPI month (from the previous CPI reading through the most recent figure prior to the publication of the current CPI); forecasts—the average of forecasts which were revised after the CPI was published.