Showing posts with label teflon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label teflon. Show all posts

Sunday, January 15, 2017

#RIPUSA Another Teflon Trump Tramp Moment ....."Perverted" Sex with Russian prostitutes, kickbacks, bribes and other Trump follies revealed




Image result for Cartoon Teflon Tramp Trump

As I had diaried last week based on report from David Corn in Mother Jones, and former MI6 operative had discovered information that Russian intelligence has been attempting to cultivate Donald Trump as an asset for the last five years and had gather compromising information with which to blackmail him with. This information was turned over to the FBI and what CNN has reported today is that the CIA and FBI have found this British agents sources credible enough to include them in a two page summary that was part of the classified briefing materials given the President-Elect Trump last friday as part of their report on the widespread and comprehensive Russian hacking and disinformation campaign intended to benefit Trump in the election.

Buzzfeed has posted the 35 page document summarizing the data that was provided to the FBI and some of the details of this memo are sizzling.


And we’ve learned so much more about the Kompromat-Elect today.

CNN has covered this story in depth.


There are many elements of this report that are literally eye-popping and I can see why at this date outlets like CNN have not yet reported on the more salacious details, but in point of fact those details besides being somewhat purient are also relatively illuminating considering the context.

The first thing is that Trump and his campaign have been fully aware and fully informed as to the Russian activities attacking the Clinton campaign and that they openly and regularly shared information for well over a year. To put it another way, Trump and his people not only knew that the Russians were hacking his opponents, they were directly receiving the information Russian intelligence had taken and also given to Wikileaks and the Kremlin’s propaganda arms, RT and Sputnik News.


Not all of this former British agents information came from Russia. Some of it came from and was confirmed by Trump associates inside the campaign. They knew Wikileaks was being used as a front to generate “plausible deniability.” Trump had his own moles inside the DNC. The information exchange went both ways with the Russians providing information on Clinton and Trump providing information on Russian oligarchs inside the U.S. to the Kremlin.

So Trump’s people were spying on behalf of Russia in exchange for inside info on Clinton.

And yet it gets worse.


An ethnic Russian source close to Trump admitted there was a well-developed conspiracy of co-operation between them and Russian leadership, handled by former campaign manager Paul Manafort and foreign policy advisor Carter Page due to Putin hatred and fear of Hillary Clinton. Others involved in clandestine meetings with the Russians included Trump attorney Michael Cohen.

The Russia-hack hysteria aided Trump in multiple ways, in addition to helping his campaign directly the hubbub of “Russia, Russia Russia” also distracted away from some of Trump more problematic business dealings in China.


Apparently all this Russia noise distracted from his businesses in China and elsewhere where a “substantial and involved payment of large bribes and kickbacks” had taken place.

One point of speculation: the memo says that the Russian counterparts who met with Manafort — until the revelation of his receiving kickback from the former President of the Ukraine had him side-lined, an allegation that is confirmed in the memo — Page and Cohen were through consular offices located in New York, DC and Miami.

Could these consular offices have been the same ones that were shuttered by the Obama Administration in retaliation for the Hacks?


Starting on Friday at noon, the White House said, Russia will be denied access to compounds in Maryland and New York that have been used for intelligence-related purposes

If so, then what Obama may have truly been doing by declaring 35 Russian diplomats “persona non grata” is deporting Trump’s handlers out of the country. Just a thought. If he didn’t do that, he should have.

Oh, and then there’s the prostitutes.


“Extensive sexual services?”

Hold onto your lunch folks, this next bit is going to get somewhat “Nasty.” Although Russian intelligence had attempted to compromise Trump with enticing real estate deals he had not be forthcoming in that area. They had heard rumors and allegations of Trump paying bribes and having “sex parties” during a visit to St. Petersburg but where unable — due to his use of intermediary companies — to confirm this or the party. Until….well… this. However, there were other aspects to TRUMP's engagement with the Russian authorities. One which had borne fruit for them was to exploit personal obsesslons and sexual perversion in order to obtain suitable 'kompromat' [compromising material] on him. According to Source D, where s/he had been present, (perverted) conduct in Moscow included hiring the presidential suite of the Ritz Carlton Hotel, where he knew President and Mrs OBAMA {whom he hated] had stayed on one to the official trips to Russia, defiling the bed where they had slept by employing a number of prostitutes to perform a 'golden showers' (urination) show in front of him. The hotel was known to be under FSE control with microphones and concealed cameras in all the main rooms to record anything they wanted to.


Uh, eww…. That’s from page #2 btw, right up front. Doing something like that takes a real special kind of vindictive frackhole.

Apparently though they had managed to obtain their Kompromat FSB declined to use it because Trump and his people were being “so co-operative” voluntarily. Although they did begin to gain some “buyers remorse” and heartburn as they grew more concerned their efforts would be discover and wasn’t yet paying off. Eventually they shutdown the Romanian hacker project, although they continue using the “plausibly deniable” disclosures to Wikileaks and amazingly, it appears that Trump may have helped pay some of the hackers himself. [Highlighting mine]


So it seems Trump may have so much to say about who the hackers were because some of them were on his payroll. At this point I’ve literally lost track of the numbers of major and minor crimes that are being alleged to be specifically perpetrated by Trump.

Lastly, did Russia efforts effect the election? Well, it seems, that was exactly the plan.


They were betting that “Educated youth in America… could be persuaded to vote for [Trump] as a protest against the Washington establishment. … The hope was that even if she won, as a result of this Clinton in power would be bogged down working for internal reconciliation in the U.S.” They also hoped that disaffected Bernie supporters could be turned away from Hillary and toward Trump.

Well, when we had voters in the rust belt who felt ignored and short-changed by multi-national corporation and bad trade deals, who had voted twice for Obama and then turned away from Clinton following all the various scandals stovepiped into the public discourse by the FSB and Kremlin disinformation operation who ultimately stayed home or voted for Trump, I would say that worked.

Really well.

Now is it possible everything is these memos may not pan out perfectly? Sure. Michael Cohen is already claiming he’s never been to Prague to meet with Russia intelligence in his life. Fine. The FBI and the CIA are looking into this, but they have been able to confirm some of it or else they wouldn’t have felt enough confidence to including it in the briefing materials, and confirming any of this is certainly not good for Trump or for America.

Wednesday, Jan 11, 2017 · 10:05:47 AM JST · Frank Vyan Walton


Sen. Al Franken grilled AG nominee Jefferson Beauregard Sessions the 3rd about this subject during his confirmation hearing and asked, “If it’s true, what are you going to do?”



“These documents also allegedly stated, quote, there was a continuing exchange of information during the campaign between Trump surrogates and intermediaries from the Russian government,” Franken said. “Now, again, I’m telling you this as it’s coming out, so, you know. But if it’s true, it’s obviously extremely serious and if there is any evidence that anyone affiliated with the trump campaign communicated with the Russian government in the course of this campaign, what will you do?”

Sessions explained that he was unaware of the story and of the Russian activities, saying that he was unable to comment on it.

“Without divulging sensitive information, do you know about this or know what compromising personal and financial information the Russians claim to have?” Franken continued.


“Senator Franken, allegations get made about candidates all the time and they’ve been made about President-elect Trump lots of times,” Sessions said, dismissing the report. “Most of them, virtually all of them, have been proven to be exaggerated or untrue. I would just say to you that I have no information about this matter. I have not been in on the classified briefings and I’m not a member of the intelligence committee. I’m just not able to give you any information on it at this time.”

Note Sessions never actually answered the question about what he would do about this, even if only for the sake of clarity, “if it’s true.”

Wednesday, Jan 11, 2017 · 10:15:50 AM JST · Frank Vyan Walton


Sen Wyden slamed Comey for not confirming if they’re investigating these Russia-Trump connections. Now normally the FBI doesn’t comment on investigations unless it involves known crime or public event in order to protect the presumption innocence — except they pretty much blew that entire thing when it came to Weiner emails now didn’t they?



As you know, the Russian foreign minister was quoted in various news reports saying that the Russians had had contacts with people associated with the Trump campaign,” Wyden began. “Now that may or may not be true … My question to Director Comey is: Has the FBI investigated these reported relationships and, if so, what are the agencies finding?”

“I would never comment on investigation whether we have one or not in an open forum like this,” Comey said. “I really can’t answer one way or another.”

“Will you provide an unclassified response to these questions and release it to the American people prior to January 20?” Wyden pressed, referring to Trump’s inauguration date.

“Sir, I will answer any question you ask, but the answer will likely be the same as I just gave you. I can’t talk about it,” Comey replied.

Coincidently Wyden confirms one of the key allegations of the MI6 memos, that Russian ministers have been meeting the Trump surrogates for some time, according to the Russians themselves.

Keith Olbermann points out that at Trump’s last press conference, which was in July, he asked Russia to hack — or to release if they had already hacked — Clinton Emails. Now, technically that was never going to work because the hacking started in late 2015 and Clinton server had been in hands of the FBI before that, plus the emails in question were deleted in March of 2015 months prior to that.

There was no overlap between where and when the emails were still on her server and when the hacking project was in place. Now there were some previous attempts to hack Clinton’s server but there’s no evidence they were ever successful. The only way to get her work related emails after that point would be to hack them from the Servers at State.gov, which actually they did.

(CNN) Overlooked in the controversy over Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server, is the fact that suspected Russian hackers have bedeviled State Department's email system for much of the past year and continue to pose problems for technicians trying to eradicate the intrusion. 

Federal law enforcement, intelligence and congressional officials briefed on the investigation say the hack of the State email system is the "worst ever" cyberattack intrusion against a federal agency. The attackers who breached State are also believed to be behind hacks on the White House's email system, and against several other federal agencies, the officials say.

The issue is relevant because one criticism of the Clinton private email use is that it was likely less secure than emailing within the State Department's system. But the hack shows that State's system has major security issues. The State system, investigators believe, was compromised in the past year, likely after Clinton left the State Department.
Last November, the State Department shut down its email system over a weekend to try to improve security and block the intruders.

At the time, the agency tried to send a re-assuring message that "activity of concern" by possible hackers only affected its unclassified email system.

Wednesday, Jan 11, 2017 · 7:35:37 PM JST · Frank Vyan Walton I’m listening to Trump press conference and it’s really pathetic. He’s attacking Buzzfeed, he’s attacking CNN — he won’t take a question from CNN, and says they’re “Fake News” now — but all they did was report about the 2 pages added to the briefing, which well — happened. His performance is really sad. Full denial, all finger-pointing. This is Banana-Republic stuff people.

He claims yet again falsely that nothing was done in response to the Chinese hack of the OPM, but that’s not true. First of all it wasn’t the Chinese government who did that, and the people that did it were arrested and prosecuted by China at the request of the U.S. That’s more than we did the Russian hackers.

He claims that the RNC had stronger hacking defenses than the DNC, but that wasn’t in the briefing and isn't true. Other Republicans were hacked including Lyndsay Graham and the email from a former member of the RNC was indeed hacked, although he hadn’t used that account for some time.

Jake Tapper is now coming back on CNN pointing out that the former MI6 source was found trust worthy and credible and that the FBI & CIA have contacted his sources and also found them credible. No, other news agencies haven’t confirmed any of this, but then I wouldn’t expect sensitive and covert sources, some potentially inside the Kremlin, to talk to the American press about any of this — that’s what spies do, not reporters. Let me repeat that some of the hacking report in large focus does include independent sources inside the Kremlin, particularly where they report the Putin was in direct oversight of the hacking project and exactly what information would be leaked to their outlets. In short, CIA may be able to verify this with their own sources inside the Kremlin separate from those of ex-Mi6 guy.

The unclassified portion of the hacking report from the USIC confirms major portions of the buzzfeed memo concerning how intense Putin’s involvement in this project was.

The argument that there was a different Michael Cohen mentioned in the memo from the one we already know who is part Trump campaign doesn’t disprove that this other Michael Cohen exists or the report is still accurate on that point.

We still need to learn whether Trump has been lying this entire time about being in-the-loop with Putin on the hacking, that they were receiving the fruits of the hacking directly from Russian handlres in a “co-operative conspiracy” rather than just picking it up on reposts of Sputnik and whether Trump himself paid off some of the hackers. There’s a lot in here and went through it in details specifically because it all needs to be looked at, confirmed and/or rejected item by item.

For example Trump’s people have claimed they weren’t in contact with the Russians during the campaign, but the Russians have said they were which as I posted above was confirmed by Sen Wyden’s question to Director Comey. The allegation that Trump has been involved with bribes and kickbacks in his international business practices has been extensively reported by Kurt Eichenwald of Newsweek. These items are confirmed.

A lot of this could still be true even without the golden shower scenario, and none of it is good. It’s all bad, all of it.

Is it possible this is confidence game? A double-blind end-run that is designed to discredit news sources, like Buzzfeed and CNN, in order to inoculate Trump from any media criticism in the future? Possibly, but also doubtful since the FBI and CIA have already found the former MI6 guy and his sources both credible. That doesn’t mean every story here will pan out, but it does mean the FBI & CIA trust these sources and as I’ve just shown, a lot of the important details have been independently confirmed already.

This is a thing now people, we’re beyond the looking glass.

Friday, October 14, 2016

Tricky Tacky Trump isn't Teflon anymore. Unhinged by Accusations that are Sticking, Five things to keep in mind. ,


Trump Isn’t Teflon:Five things to keep in mind as the latest accusations against him shake up the race.
Image result for Cartoon Teflon Trump


A series of women have accused Donald Trump of sexually assaulting them. Trump has denied the claims. But given the number of accusers and the release of videotape last week that showed Trump bragging about actions similar to the ones the women described, the stories are likely to be ahuge  problem for his campaign.


We’re 24 days away from the election, so I wanted to advance a series of simple propositions about how the allegations might affect Trump’s prospects. If this stuff sounds familiar, it probably should, since it’s similar to the analysis I did after the release of the tape last week.

Proposition No. 1: Trump isn’t “Teflon
.” Stories like these have hurt him.The conventional wisdom from the primaries — that Trump was unaffected by scandals or other negative storylines — hasn’t held up in the general election. Trump is the most unpopular presidential nominee of the modern era, and furthermore, downswings in his polling correlate well with specific incidents, such as his criticism of Judge Gonzalo Curiel and Khizr and Ghazala Khan. He’s also lost further ground to Hillary Clinton since the tape was released last week.

Proposition No. 2: These events may affect Trump’s “ceiling” more than his “floor.”
At some point, though, one wonders how much lower Trump can go. He’s getting only 39 percent of the vote in national polls, a low figure for such a partisan era. Even if Trump gets embroiled in further scandals, each one may drive away fewer voters than the one before, as he’s already been involved in so many. And Trump’s response to the accusations — such lashing out at The New York Times and other media organizations that reported his accusers’ stories — could play well with his base.

But 39 percent of the vote won’t be enough for Trump to win the election or come anywhere close to it. At a minimum, he’ll need around 46 percent on Nov. 8, assuming that about 8 percent of the vote goes to third-party candidates. Where he’ll get those votes from is hard to say. Based on recent polls, I’d estimate that about 35 percent of Trump’s current voters are white men without a college degree, by far Trump’s best demographic group. But only around 10 percent of voters who don’t currently support Trump fall into that category. Trump will have to win over women, college-educated white men or people of color to win the election, and the events of the past week are unlikely to help him with any of those groups.

Proposition No. 3: It’s plausible that the effect on the polls could be temporary rather than permanent. There’s a complicated debate about whether election polls are essentially mean-reverting or instead resemble arandom walk. In other words, if Trump goes from being (for instance) 5 percentage points behind to 7 points behind as a result of some news event, is he more likely than not to rebound to 5 points after a couple of weeks? Or is the 7-point deficit the new normal? There’s even a third possibility — that polls are momentum-driven, so that if a candidate loses ground in a poll, he’s likely to continue losing further ground.

Without getting too deep into the weeds, I’d just remind you to be open to the possibility that the accusations could have an effect that will last for between a few days and a couple of weeks, but that could fade once other issues displace them in the news cycle. Of course, with less than four weeks to go until the election and people already voting in many states, even a temporary change in the polling numbers could still be reflected in the outcome on Nov. 8.

Proposition No. 4: We probably haven’t seen the end of this. If Trump turns out to be a serial sexual abuser, there’s a good chance that other women will come forward with stories like the ones we’ve heard already. And the women who have come forward so far may yet share additional details about Trump’s alleged conduct. In the past, Trump has also shown a tendency to extend news cycles by refusing to admit wrongdoing and attacking his accusers, even when faced with accusations far less serious than these. We’re already starting to see Trump repeat that pattern here.

Furthermore, opposition researchers have begun releasing information at a prodigious rate, with major new stories about Trump dropping every few days. Many political operatives and campaign reporters believe that there’s more damaging information about Trump that has yet to be made public. While sometimes those guesses can turn out to be wrong, Trump has lived in the public spotlight for decades, leaving a long paper and video trail, and crossing paths — and swords — with many people along the way. The probability of additional leaks is high, so Trump is likely to be off-balance for the stretch run of the campaign.

Proposition No. 5: This probably won’t cost him the election — because Trump was already losing. It’s important to remember that Trump has been running behind Clinton for almost the whole campaign, and he had fallen into roughly a 5-percentage-point deficit after his poor performance in the first presidential debate — and before the latest round of scandals. That deficit is fairly hard to come back from even under the best of circumstances. To make it to the Oval Office now, Trump would have to make one of the greatest comebacks in political history while navigating a minefield of scandals and leaks, making his task even harder. But as far as Cameos from Zion forecasts are concerned, the first debate still looks like the turning point in the race.

Tricky Tacky Trump isn't Teflon anymore. Unhinged by Accusations that are Sticking, Five things to keep in mind. ,


Trump Isn’t Teflon:Five things to keep in mind as the latest accusations against him shake up the race.
Image result for Cartoon Teflon Trump


A series of women have accused Donald Trump of sexually assaulting them. Trump has denied the claims. But given the number of accusers and the release of videotape last week that showed Trump bragging about actions similar to the ones the women described, the stories are likely to be ahuge  problem for his campaign.


We’re 24 days away from the election, so I wanted to advance a series of simple propositions about how the allegations might affect Trump’s prospects. If this stuff sounds familiar, it probably should, since it’s similar to the analysis I did after the release of the tape last week.

Proposition No. 1: Trump isn’t “Teflon
.” Stories like these have hurt him.The conventional wisdom from the primaries — that Trump was unaffected by scandals or other negative storylines — hasn’t held up in the general election. Trump is the most unpopular presidential nominee of the modern era, and furthermore, downswings in his polling correlate well with specific incidents, such as his criticism of Judge Gonzalo Curiel and Khizr and Ghazala Khan. He’s also lost further ground to Hillary Clinton since the tape was released last week.

Proposition No. 2: These events may affect Trump’s “ceiling” more than his “floor.”
At some point, though, one wonders how much lower Trump can go. He’s getting only 39 percent of the vote in national polls, a low figure for such a partisan era. Even if Trump gets embroiled in further scandals, each one may drive away fewer voters than the one before, as he’s already been involved in so many. And Trump’s response to the accusations — such lashing out at The New York Times and other media organizations that reported his accusers’ stories — could play well with his base.

But 39 percent of the vote won’t be enough for Trump to win the election or come anywhere close to it. At a minimum, he’ll need around 46 percent on Nov. 8, assuming that about 8 percent of the vote goes to third-party candidates. Where he’ll get those votes from is hard to say. Based on recent polls, I’d estimate that about 35 percent of Trump’s current voters are white men without a college degree, by far Trump’s best demographic group. But only around 10 percent of voters who don’t currently support Trump fall into that category. Trump will have to win over women, college-educated white men or people of color to win the election, and the events of the past week are unlikely to help him with any of those groups.

Proposition No. 3: It’s plausible that the effect on the polls could be temporary rather than permanent. There’s a complicated debate about whether election polls are essentially mean-reverting or instead resemble arandom walk. In other words, if Trump goes from being (for instance) 5 percentage points behind to 7 points behind as a result of some news event, is he more likely than not to rebound to 5 points after a couple of weeks? Or is the 7-point deficit the new normal? There’s even a third possibility — that polls are momentum-driven, so that if a candidate loses ground in a poll, he’s likely to continue losing further ground.

Without getting too deep into the weeds, I’d just remind you to be open to the possibility that the accusations could have an effect that will last for between a few days and a couple of weeks, but that could fade once other issues displace them in the news cycle. Of course, with less than four weeks to go until the election and people already voting in many states, even a temporary change in the polling numbers could still be reflected in the outcome on Nov. 8.

Proposition No. 4: We probably haven’t seen the end of this. If Trump turns out to be a serial sexual abuser, there’s a good chance that other women will come forward with stories like the ones we’ve heard already. And the women who have come forward so far may yet share additional details about Trump’s alleged conduct. In the past, Trump has also shown a tendency to extend news cycles by refusing to admit wrongdoing and attacking his accusers, even when faced with accusations far less serious than these. We’re already starting to see Trump repeat that pattern here.

Furthermore, opposition researchers have begun releasing information at a prodigious rate, with major new stories about Trump dropping every few days. Many political operatives and campaign reporters believe that there’s more damaging information about Trump that has yet to be made public. While sometimes those guesses can turn out to be wrong, Trump has lived in the public spotlight for decades, leaving a long paper and video trail, and crossing paths — and swords — with many people along the way. The probability of additional leaks is high, so Trump is likely to be off-balance for the stretch run of the campaign.

Proposition No. 5: This probably won’t cost him the election — because Trump was already losing. It’s important to remember that Trump has been running behind Clinton for almost the whole campaign, and he had fallen into roughly a 5-percentage-point deficit after his poor performance in the first presidential debate — and before the latest round of scandals. That deficit is fairly hard to come back from even under the best of circumstances. To make it to the Oval Office now, Trump would have to make one of the greatest comebacks in political history while navigating a minefield of scandals and leaks, making his task even harder. But as far as Cameos from Zion forecasts are concerned, the first debate still looks like the turning point in the race.

Tricky Tacky Trump isn't Teflon anymore. Unhinged by Accusations that are Sticking, Five things to keep in mind. ,


Trump Isn’t Teflon:Five things to keep in mind as the latest accusations against him shake up the race.
Image result for Cartoon Teflon Trump


A series of women have accused Donald Trump of sexually assaulting them. Trump has denied the claims. But given the number of accusers and the release of videotape last week that showed Trump bragging about actions similar to the ones the women described, the stories are likely to be ahuge  problem for his campaign.


We’re 24 days away from the election, so I wanted to advance a series of simple propositions about how the allegations might affect Trump’s prospects. If this stuff sounds familiar, it probably should, since it’s similar to the analysis I did after the release of the tape last week.

Proposition No. 1: Trump isn’t “Teflon
.” Stories like these have hurt him.The conventional wisdom from the primaries — that Trump was unaffected by scandals or other negative storylines — hasn’t held up in the general election. Trump is the most unpopular presidential nominee of the modern era, and furthermore, downswings in his polling correlate well with specific incidents, such as his criticism of Judge Gonzalo Curiel and Khizr and Ghazala Khan. He’s also lost further ground to Hillary Clinton since the tape was released last week.

Proposition No. 2: These events may affect Trump’s “ceiling” more than his “floor.”
At some point, though, one wonders how much lower Trump can go. He’s getting only 39 percent of the vote in national polls, a low figure for such a partisan era. Even if Trump gets embroiled in further scandals, each one may drive away fewer voters than the one before, as he’s already been involved in so many. And Trump’s response to the accusations — such lashing out at The New York Times and other media organizations that reported his accusers’ stories — could play well with his base.

But 39 percent of the vote won’t be enough for Trump to win the election or come anywhere close to it. At a minimum, he’ll need around 46 percent on Nov. 8, assuming that about 8 percent of the vote goes to third-party candidates. Where he’ll get those votes from is hard to say. Based on recent polls, I’d estimate that about 35 percent of Trump’s current voters are white men without a college degree, by far Trump’s best demographic group. But only around 10 percent of voters who don’t currently support Trump fall into that category. Trump will have to win over women, college-educated white men or people of color to win the election, and the events of the past week are unlikely to help him with any of those groups.

Proposition No. 3: It’s plausible that the effect on the polls could be temporary rather than permanent. There’s a complicated debate about whether election polls are essentially mean-reverting or instead resemble arandom walk. In other words, if Trump goes from being (for instance) 5 percentage points behind to 7 points behind as a result of some news event, is he more likely than not to rebound to 5 points after a couple of weeks? Or is the 7-point deficit the new normal? There’s even a third possibility — that polls are momentum-driven, so that if a candidate loses ground in a poll, he’s likely to continue losing further ground.

Without getting too deep into the weeds, I’d just remind you to be open to the possibility that the accusations could have an effect that will last for between a few days and a couple of weeks, but that could fade once other issues displace them in the news cycle. Of course, with less than four weeks to go until the election and people already voting in many states, even a temporary change in the polling numbers could still be reflected in the outcome on Nov. 8.

Proposition No. 4: We probably haven’t seen the end of this. If Trump turns out to be a serial sexual abuser, there’s a good chance that other women will come forward with stories like the ones we’ve heard already. And the women who have come forward so far may yet share additional details about Trump’s alleged conduct. In the past, Trump has also shown a tendency to extend news cycles by refusing to admit wrongdoing and attacking his accusers, even when faced with accusations far less serious than these. We’re already starting to see Trump repeat that pattern here.

Furthermore, opposition researchers have begun releasing information at a prodigious rate, with major new stories about Trump dropping every few days. Many political operatives and campaign reporters believe that there’s more damaging information about Trump that has yet to be made public. While sometimes those guesses can turn out to be wrong, Trump has lived in the public spotlight for decades, leaving a long paper and video trail, and crossing paths — and swords — with many people along the way. The probability of additional leaks is high, so Trump is likely to be off-balance for the stretch run of the campaign.

Proposition No. 5: This probably won’t cost him the election — because Trump was already losing. It’s important to remember that Trump has been running behind Clinton for almost the whole campaign, and he had fallen into roughly a 5-percentage-point deficit after his poor performance in the first presidential debate — and before the latest round of scandals. That deficit is fairly hard to come back from even under the best of circumstances. To make it to the Oval Office now, Trump would have to make one of the greatest comebacks in political history while navigating a minefield of scandals and leaks, making his task even harder. But as far as Cameos from Zion forecasts are concerned, the first debate still looks like the turning point in the race.

Thursday, October 6, 2016

Donald Trump Teflon Tower Tramp: 19 Reason fans want a fake Ceo in the White House that defies even their own peabody intelligence.

 Trump’s Teflon Popularity? 10 Reasons Fans Want a Faux-CEO in the White House

Trump’s mystique lies in how reality TV conflates fact and fictitious people.
Fans of “The Apprentice” franchise form Trump’s base, and their dogged allegiance and huuuuge numbers have mystified pundits. Despite constant gaffes, lies, tasteless quips, and insults from the Donald, his base pushes, pulls and sometimes punches, to put their reality TV star into the Oval Office.
Perplexed millions read his latest outrage and ask, how is this even happening? But for citizens of the United States of TV, Trump was no surprise.
Liberals missed the viability of Trump’s candidacy because it developed far outside public discourse, in faithful viewers’ minds.
“There is new evidence,” wrote CNN’s David Axelrod, President Obama’s chief campaign strategist, “Trump’s 14 years as ringmaster of ‘The Apprentice’ and ‘The Celebrity Apprentice’ were a nice foundation for his latest venture—at least in the minds of those who watched the show.”
“The Apprentice” ranked No. 1 in its time slot in its first season. An average of 20.7 million viewers watched Trump torment contestants vying for a job in his empire. The Season 1 finale entertained almost 30 million. The show’s popularity dropped every year, but even after a decade almost 5 million tuned in every week.
After 14 seasons, he is as familiar as a fat old uncle (with a duck-beak hairpiece). Fans feel connected to Unca Donald. Trump, once New York’s bombastic clown, has gradually become America’s favorite imaginary friend.
Trump’s mystique lies in how reality TV conflates fact and fictitious people. Out of its formulaic format, its “real-fantasy” doublespeak, comes Trump. Fans love this abrasive scripted business suit, America’s CEO. But do they imagine the presidency is a reality TV show: "The White House Years"?
Here are 10 reasons for this man’s puzzling popularity.
1. Fans feel “fired!” and Trump alone can give them back their place in America.
Trump supporters feel robbed. Culturally and economically, they feel America betrayed them. Bewildered and wounded, they apparently turned to TV to explain it all. And a TV hero has stepped up to make it right. Fans need Trump to come to their rescue, because they feel powerless and silenced.
Trump’s bloc wants a voice and their avatar is a loudmouth. They don’t split hairs over what he says, as long as it’s really loud. But who are Trump’s supporters? Aggrieved millions, mourning in America. Polls show that age, class, race, education and anxieties about ethnically dissimilar people all count for less than this profound sense of grief for the voice and place in society they never had, but felt they deserved.
So they’re not primarily racist, sexist or xenophobic. Fear in general—of ideas, changes and other people—is trumped by the anxiety of impotence.
2. Fans don’t know what hit them (but TV won’t tell them).

Trump fans, overall, lack education.Derek Thompson reports in the Atlantic, “Trump's support skewed male, white, and poor…the single best predictor of Trump support in the GOP primary is the absence of a college degree.” That absence exacerbates their sense that someonedissed them.

In contrast, college graduates are more likely to read for news and fun, and spend less time with their flatscreen. The blogsite Collision Detection reports, “Increasing educational level is almost perfectly inversely
correlated with daily TV consumption.”
A weak education hobbles many Americans. Less education correlates with lower income, more frequent jobless periods, particularly in recessions, and slower economic recovery when jobs are more plentiful. Trump’s fans apparently haven’t read how education could open richer, more satisfying relationships and careers to them. They were busy watching TV.
3. Fans feel the grass is greener on the other side of the looking glass.
When life feels lousy, TV offers better stories to “live inside.” Katherine Wheeler studied campus-wide TV use at Georgia Southern University. Her work suggests that people who feel swamped, lonely and uncertain tend to self-medicate with TV.
And the worse they feel, the more likely viewers are to binge-watch. Wheeler’s binge-viewers felt depressed and left out of college life. But Netflix et al. didn’t cause their woes. They “streamed” as a temporary emotional analgesic.
Comfort-bingeing apparently crosses all boundaries.
When freshmen at the historically black college where I teach told me how much they love reality TV, I was frankly surprised. “Duck Dynasty”? As a white northerner, I wondered, Why would young African Americans watch this stuff?
“It’s all new to us here in college,” one student told me. “We watched with our families. It’s like we’re not so far from home.”
Another student added, “Don’t you think Honey Boo-Boo is cute? It makes you feel good just to see her!”The genre of reality TV allures broadly across many types of content, it now seems to me. Viewers enjoy the ego-stroke of comparing themselves to “those people.” “Lowdown” figures exalt viewers. Swamp people. Kardashians.
Students told me, “You feel like, at least I’m not that bad!”

And when celebrities are involved, “You feel, I’m likethem!”

“But those shows,” I said. “They seem…”

“Racist? Stupid?” Students laughed, “They’re ridiculous!”
Reality TV clearly appeals to a broad swath of Americans, but not everyone falls for Donald Trump. My students at Alabama State University avidly watched the first presidential debate. And they felt offended by Trump’s implication that some of his best friends were African American.
“Who’s he trying to fool?” one student said. “He said that because he needs us.”
But Trump’s persona still offers comfort to his TV-generated base. For them, is he a grownup Honey Boo-Boo? The line between celebrity as a familiar face and as imaginary friend is perilously narrow.
4. Donald Trump, a dream come true.
When Trump took his abusive CEO schtick on the campaign trail, people felt like they already knew him. TV watchers who relate strongly to characters, but know they are fictional, experience something called “parasocial involvement.” But when viewers feel their favorite TV folk know them, respond to them and even like them, they’ve slid into a “parasocial relationship,” essentially an imaginary friendship.

Katherine Wheeler's study found that people most alienated from their real lives are prone to fall into parasocial relationships with TV figures. For them, Donald Trump is a dream come true. Their favorite TV boss has stepped off the screen to fight for them.

Do they know who their hero is, really? Fans think they already know him—or they choose not to probe deeper. Fourteen seasons ago when Trump stepped into that reality TV limbo, the gap between show role and celebrity persona faded, and TV-induced Stockholm syndrome began to take hold of viewers.
Fans don’t judge Trump by the mores of a civil society. We need to follow etiquette TV characters can blithely ignore. That loud, volatile lout has spent more time in their homes than any real friend. And fans happily forgive Trump’s lack of manners because he is theirCEO.He would never treat them badly, right?
5. Trump (magically! manfully!) turns pain into anger and fear into aggression.
Their hero has already helped them! Fans’ fear felt weak and painful, but their newfound anger feels strong. Trump has already helped his white-male-skewed avid TV fan-base feel powerful.
But pain doesn’t morph into anger all by itself. Trump leverages power by stoking (often imaginary) fear, then twisting it into fury against anyone who stands up to him.
“Pain combined with anger-triggering thoughts motivates you to take action, face threats and defend yourself by striking out against the target you think is causing you pain,” explains Harry Mills on MentalHelp.net. And Trump offers up plenty of targets: Obama, Hillary, Mexicans, Arabs: his list of “losers” gets longer every week.
Pundits didn’t take Trump seriously as a political force, but his power trick is a time-honored favorite among tyrants. Hitler fomented fear to bond his ersatz-tribe of “Aryans,” and with an easy target, he converted their anxiety to rage. Hitler’s scapegoats—Jews, gays, blacks, artists, intellectuals, liberals, women—look a lot like the people Trump vilifies. And like der Fuhrer, Trump urges action against them. This ploy has already provoked violence. In other words, it’s working for him.
6. Fans feel better already!
It’s also working for fans. America’s imaginary friend, Unca Donald, helps people feel better about their lives. He may not share his plans for ISIS, but we know his plans for America’s losers. 
TV CEO Trump is a textbook abuser. Fans enjoy watching someone else get the kind of abuse they get in real life. It must be especially fun to watch an otherwise untouchable celebrity get yelled at by management. Trump enacts fans’ fantasies of power.
And now this bully may step into the realm of real power. In a few months, Trump will “put down” the forces that have allegedly robbed America of greatness. Will fans get to take part, too, acting out some new (reality TV) version of Krystallnacht?
7. Fans feel Trump knows them and responds to them personally.
He knows them, fans think. Better still, he embodiesand speaks for them. OnUSA Today’s webpage “Trump Nation,” a 43-year-old “businesswoman and mom,” says, “I see him as a candidate that is actually giving the people a voice and listening to what people want.” He is exactly the candidate she sees him as. He is whatever she needs or wants him to be. In other words, he validates her.
So when he opens his mouth, does she almost feel that she is speaking? His loud and whiny voice is hers. His unsubstantiated claims and blatant lies are her truths.
8. And anti-Trump people just seem ignorant.
Non-fans try and mostly fail to make sense of this strange phenomenon: a TV character might be president.
“It’s clear enough to those of us who don’t like Trump why we don’t like him,”George Saunders opined in the New Yorker. “What isn’t clear is why it isn’t clear to those who like him.” But (funnily enough) Trump supporters don’t care what the anti-Trump camp thinks. To fans, non-fans just seem ignorant.
Mainly, they’re ignorant of the wholeness that TV (finally!) offers. TV gave us Fox News, a kind of ideological mayo to glue together and smooth over the lumpy potato salad of Trump impromptu nonsense, outright lies and vague talking points. Together, Fox and Trump reflect a seamless world in which waning middle-class frustrations, privations, and fears finally make sense.
The erosion of privilege that undereducated white fans have endured is not their fault. Trump blamed someone else.
“He tells it like it is!” say citizens of Trump Nation. Actual history doesn’t matter. For example, Obama was just another American kid when wealthy, stealthy white men tugged on the thread that sewed the middle class together. Nixon knitted together the economies of the U.S. and China, Reagan unraveled financial protections, President Bill sewed up NAFTA, and George W. blanketed us all with the Patriot Act. But now fans can overlook how white male privilege (not Obama) frayed the middle class.
9. The rich, straight, white man card.
From cowboys to cops to the Donald, American TV culture teaches us to identify with wealthy white males. No one wants to be a “loser” in a country that mocks the poor, for example. People can’t blame the rich for poverty if they want to bethe rich. It has always been easier to persecute the “other” poor.
And Trump relentlessly plays that “straight white rich man” card, implying a brotherhood of wealthy men. And he has friends. Lots of beautiful, successful friends. Just ask Sean Hannity.
Fans feel a part of that awesome (implied) fellowship. But to buy into Trump’s world, fans must see themselves as he sees them: losers. After all, in his ideology, people who pay taxes, give money to charity or honorably serve their country, especially real war heroes, are all pathetic losers.
Paradoxically, self-loathing helps them share in his heights of glory. In their minds, they are already in the reality TV White House. When Trump asked, "How stupid are the people of Iowa?” his devotees, who often praise his outspokenness, happily overlooked his implicit message about them: “Gimme a break! People who promote a knucklehead must be very stupid!”
10.Bottom line: Fans like him.
Fans believe in him, facts be damned. A Trump Nation member, a middle-aged man, comments, “He must be a successful businessman because he could not have gotten where he is today if he wasn’t.” Politics excites skepticism, but fandom inspires unquestioned acceptance of its idol. Skeptics ask, “If he’s successful, why doesn’t he release his tax returns?” Fans don’t care about evidence of success. They likehim. That’s all the evidence they need.
In devotees’ progressive narrative, even epic failures can be “written off” as steps toward Trump’s ultimate success: the White House. Out on the campaign trail, George Saunders ironically expresses Trump’s apotheosis when he says, “He is blessing us… with his celebrity, promising never to disappoint us.” But Trump fans won’t read the New Yorker,much less note the irony.
Certainly, logic and reason have nothing to do with fandom’s passionate loyalty. Inside that seamless emotional space, the willing suspension of disbelief for TV’s fictional world morphs into a need to believe that their favorite TV character is the real person running for president. In November, maybe they will just turn on their flatscreen and curl up safe inside a manufactured fantasy of power.

Sunday, September 18, 2016

Most Toxic Right-Wing Moments This Week: Trump Is America's Worst Troll Next week, Trump will acknowledge the existence of gravity! And we will be there to cover it!


 Most Toxic Right-Wing Moments This Week: Trump Is America's Worst Troll
Next week, Trump will acknowledge the existence of gravity! And we will be there to cover it!





Photo Credit: FlickR/IoSonoUnaFotoCamera

When Donald Trump managed to dominate the news this week by stating the known reality of President Obama’s birthplace, the collective nausea was palpable. “We have been played,” the mainstream media including everyone on CNN finally acknowledged. Played by a con man extraordinaire, who has not only increased his chances of being elected with his psychopathic games, but provided a blueprint for all future dangerous con men who would be president.

Still, Trump’s peculiar genius for the Big Lie will be hard to replicate. In a 30-second statement, he managed to layer his original blatant birtherist bigotry with a new outrageous fallacy: that Hillary Clinton made him do it. By week’s end he was inciting violence against her again, and we were reminded that his shamelessness cannot possibly be outflanked—it’s a shapeshifting target that melts away into the civilian population.

Strap on the airsick bag and remember to hydrate; this ride is only getting more sickening. Here are some of the week’s other deplorable moments.

1. Teflon Trump’s new incitement.

Just a day after completing his birther long con, Trump moved on to once again incite the sickest members of his base to commit violence against Hillary Clinton. Knowing full well the extent to which he was lying about Clinton’s position on guns, he suggested her security detail should be disarmed as punishment for her views, and then “see what happens to her.”

He was in Miami, railing against Clinton’s desire to impose a modicum of gun control in a state that recently was home to a deadly mass shooting.

"I think that her bodyguards should drop all weapons,” Trump told the crowd. He was on a roll. "What do you think? Yes? Yes. Take their guns away," he cackled. "She doesn't want guns. Let's see what happens to her. Take their guns away. Okay?"

Ha ha! Tee hee! Almost as funny as that time he suggested "the Second Amendment people" might take action against Clinton. Or that hilarious one about how he could shoot someone and remain as popular as ever. (Although that last one appears to be all too true.)

No decent person would dream of saying these things. If Clinton referred to Trump’s (huge) security detail in any way, there’d be calls for her head. But she wouldn’t, because she’s a normal, responsible human being. She’s still being made to pay for her entirely accurate and fairly milquetoast “basket of deplorables” assessment of many of Trump’s supporters. Also for getting sick, and for not smiling enough and for raising her voice sometimes.

Whee! Who doesn’t love a good gun joke with a little incitement on the side?

2. Trumpian CNN-er tries to filibuster panel discussion on birtherism.

Trump did it again. Even after lamenting the fact that they had “been played” because “that’s what the Trump campaign does,” CNN was talking about him. Don Lemon was holding a panel discussion of the latest Big Lie, the lie that Donald wasn’t the one who was responsible for the whole toxic birtherism crusade, his opponent was.

But even that completely specious and unnecessary discussion proved impossible, because Corey Lewandowski, the Trump surrogate CNN put on its payroll, was in the house. As Lemon tried to read a 2007 statement from Clinton adviser Sidney Blumenthal denying any involvement in birtherism, Lewandowski just kept talking over it. So Lemon cut his mike, and Lewandowski’s mouth just kept moving.


Sound restored, Lewandowski said he could not understand why it was still a controversy. Hadn’t the Donald said, Poof, birtherism is gone now—I have decreed it so, period?

Van Jones attempted to school him, as though such a thing were possible, but you can’t blame a guy for trying.

“The reason it’s still a controversy, Corey, is because he didn’t say his birtherism was disproven, it’s wrong, here’s why I continued with the innuendos for years and years," commentator Van Jones said. “He didn’t give full context. Instead, he tried to blame his kid sister, Hillary, for everything he’s done for the past five years. And because of that, it shows not just a lack of judgment in pursuing this, but now a lack of character, in not being a standup person and taking responsibility for your actions. And that’s why it’s still a controversy. I hope that helps you.”

We hope it helps Corey too. But like the mikes, we suspect the lines to Lewandowski’s ears, or between his ears and his brain, or connecting to any sort of conscience have long been disconnected.

3. Sean Hannity pretty much has a wet dream over Trump’s birther statement.

When he grows up, Hannity wants to be like Trump. But despite having really great hair he fears he never will be, so for now, Sean will have to worship the Trumpster from afar.

For Hannity, Trump’s brief birther statement was a thing of extraordinary beauty. He agreed 100 percent with Drudge that “Trump Trolled the Media.” What could be better than that! And isn’t that the most important quality for a commander-in-chief? The ability to troll?

Yes, Trump not only claimed credit for ending the birther controversy (which he popularized and perpetuated and inserted into the mainstream), he blamed Hillary for starting it.

So apparently, when Hannity says “troll,” he means stand truth completely on its ear and assert things that are entirely contrary to known, demonstrable, recorded facts—and that that is a good thing. Think of all the institutions Trump will be able to turn his trolling talents to if he gets elected. Perhaps he can troll national security! The Supreme Court! The monetary system! The sky’s the limit, man!

“I just died laughing,” Hannity giggled. ”I thought it was so funny.” Then he proceeded to lie about presidential candidates having to produce their birth certificates, and mentioned another conspiracy theory about Obama.


4. Brit Hume thinks there may be some sort of conspiracy.

Brit Hume has been so befuddled during this campaign. One of the things he can’t understand, try as he might, is why he can’t call Hillary Clinton shrill or suggest she smile more without being called sexist. This is generally bewildering to him.

This week he demonstrated Trump-like pretzel logic when he speculated that Hillary Clinton might be staging things during her campaign, because some people are saying that she is.

During a fairly nonsensical discussion with Howard Kurtz on “On the Record,” Hume was trying to get to the bottom of how an “adorable little girl” magically appeared after Hillary Clinton's now fainting episode during 9/11 commemoration ceremonies.

“By the way, what did you make of the—when she came out in the street on Sunday and said she was fine and this adorable little girl materializes? I think that people were suspicious of that, that it looked like it might have been staged,” Hume said.

There it is, the old, "some people" are suspicious so I’m just going to report it because it’s not like I’m just making it up or anything accusation.

“Well, I’m just saying,” genius Hume continued, much in the way a 14-year-old mean girl backs off after saying an unfortunate classmate looks fat. He’s just saying, guys.

“I’m not saying it was," said Hume. "I’m just saying the secretiveness stuff leads to such thoughts.”

So, it’s Hillary’s fault, you see. She is making him have these suspicions and these discussions, which he would not be having if she weren’t so secretive. Also, she should smile more, though not when she hugs adorable little girls, because that's fake.

5. Leading birther is too devastated to speak after Trump’s betrayal.


Donald Trump’s exit from birtherism has left the movement in disarray. One of Trump's primary co-conspirators, WorldNetDaily “reporter” Jerome Corsi, is refusing even to speak about it.

This week, a clearly distraught Corsi told conservative radio host Rusty Humphries, "I really don’t even want to get into it anymore," according to Right Wing Watch. "Donald Trump, he didn’t need my help to say what he wants to say, so let Donald on his own. I mean, I support Donald Trump."

He’s not weighing in, just writing a third book perpetuating this fundamentally racist lie about the nation’s first black president in an attempt to delegitimize his presidency.

Furthermore, any reporters who want to talk about where birtherism goes now that Trump has temporarily disavowed it “can all go to you-know-where,” Corsi said as he gathered up his toys to go home.

Oh yeah, and Hillary started it.