Friday, March 31, 2017

The Repulsive Worldview of #OyVeyDonaldTrump and #SiegHeilSteveBannon, perfectly captured in one poll. The full Quinnipiac University Poll is attached



Bannon predicts there will be an ideological 'fight every day'

A new CNN poll out this morning tests one of the fundamental tenets of the Trump and Bannon worldview in a very illuminating way. It finds that large majorities reject the basic idea that undocumented immigrants who have been in this country for a long time — and have not committed serious crimes — should nonetheless be subject to removal.

It’s the latest sign of a larger trend that goes like this: Little by little, the narrative that President Trump and his top adviser, Stephen K. Bannon, have been telling about what is happening in this country is getting translated into concrete policy specifics. And Americans are recoiling from the results.

The CNN poll tries to pin down public sentiment about Trump’s expanded deportation efforts. It finds that 58 percent of Americans worry that those efforts “will go too far and result in deportation of people who haven’t committed serious crimes,” while only 40 percent worry that those efforts “won’t go far enough and dangerous criminals will remain.”

The poll also finds that a whopping 90 percent favor allowing those who have been working here “for a number of years,” know English, and are willing to pay back taxes to stay and eventually apply for citizenship. Only nine percent want them deported. And 60 percent say the government should prioritize legalizing those working here illegally over deporting them.

Trump has vastly expanded the pool of undocumented immigrants who are now targets for deportation, enshrining in policy the idea that even longtime residents and low-level offenders are nothing more than lawbreakers who should be subject to enforcement. In the Trump/Bannon narrative, these people remain threats — cultural, demographic, economic, and physical. But these CNN findings suggest the public broadly rejects this general notion, and sees assimilation as a more appropriate outcome.

This mirrors a recent Quinnipiac poll finding that support for allowing undocumented immigrants to remain is at a new high of 63 percent, even as a plurality thinks Trump’s deportation policies are “too aggressive.” Meanwhile, sizable majorities disapprove of Trump’s planned border wall and ban on refugees and migrants from Muslim-majority countries.

Bannon flatly rejects the very existence of such public sentiments. In the wake of the initial outcry over Trump’s travel ban, Bannon insisted that the “overwhelming majority of Americans” support his “populist nation-state policies,” meaning that a large majority is rooting for Trumpism to succeed. But this is just false, as much of the polling on his immigration policies confirms.

Now this notion will be subjected to another test. The American electorate and political world are now digesting Trump’s budget — which is the most ambitious blueprint yet for realizing the Trump/Bannon “America First” vision, as well as Bannon’s vow to destroy “the administrative state.” That phrase would appear to be shorthand for national regulations and international commitments created by allegedly unaccountable bureaucrats who are supposedly disenfranchising U.S. workers and weakening American sovereignty.

Thus, the Trump budget would boost spending to fund Trump’s border wall and increased deportations. It would deeply cut into the State Department budget in ways that weaken America’s constructive international engagement, to pay for a massive military buildup. It would slash away at the Environmental Protection Agency budget, weakening environmental protections and scrapping funding for international climate change programs and for Obama policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, which are essential to meeting our commitments as part of the Paris climate accord. It would cut deeply into funding for scientific and medical research with a recklessness that has alarmed scientists.

And so, we are now seeing what the Trump/Bannon “America First” vision, backed up by the dismantling of the “administrative state,” might really look like in concrete terms. The public reaction to this will be illuminating, too.

One change that House leaders are considering is adding a work requirement for able-bodied adults who receive Medicaid. The change may appease some conservatives without alienating moderates that leadership needs to hold on to.

Conservatives think the GOP bill still spends too much to help poor people, so maybe adding in an onerous provision like this one will make up for that deficiency.

Under the ACA, premium tax credits make up for geographical differences. … In contrast, under the Ryan bill, the geographical price disparities would be shouldered by enrollees, so that same 60-year-old living in Caribou would pay hundreds more per month in premiums compared to a Portland resident. … “Older people living in rural America would be really left behind,” Collins said.

If two more GOP senators oppose the bill, it goes down. Of course, House GOP leaders are going to change it. But those changes will be to appease conservatives, not lawmakers like Collins.

* REPUBLICANS REJECT TRUMP’S BUDGET: The Post talks to a number of congressional Republicans and finds no love for Trump’s deep spending cuts:

It is not uncommon for Congress to disagree with some priorities in a White House budget. But the blueprint risks putting GOP lawmakers on a collision course with Trump over demands for spending cuts they cannot deliver. Even those fiscal conservatives who do want to cut spending don’t necessarily think slashing major domestic programs is the answer.

It’s almost as if railing about Out Of Control Big Government in the abstract is a whole lot easier than cutting programs that people actually rely upon.

* TRUMP’S BUDGET WOULD HURT HIS VOTERS: The New York Times reports that Trump’s massive budget cuts would downsize aspects of government that help many of his voters:

The approach is a risky gamble for Mr. Trump, whose victory in November came in part by assembling a coalition that included low-income workers who rely on many of the programs that he now proposes to slash. For now, the president and his advisers appear willing to take that risk by casting the administration as better caretakers of taxpayers’ money.

That might work. Or maybe Trump can simply say that any reporting on how his budget will hurt his voters is Fake News.

* TRUMP’S BUDGET WOULD HURT HIS VOTERS, PART II: The Post’s Jeff Guo reports that the budget would eliminate government agencies that spend money on projects to help “rural regions stuck in generational cycles of poverty”:

More than 37 million people would be affected in the 698 counties where the agencies work — in Appalachia, the Mississippi basin, and rural northern New England — places where the poverty rate is 33 percent higher than the national average. By proposing to zero out these programs, the president’s budget would eliminate a key effort to help to some of the nation’s poorest regions.

But Trump is going to bring manufacturing and coal jobs roaring back, so it’ll all be just fine.

* GOP FANTASY POLICIES, UNMASKED: Paul Krugman explains how Trump’s budget and the GOP health-care plan will reveal the truth about GOP policy to voters:

What will happen if anti-big-government politicians find themselves in a position to put their agenda into practice? Voters will quickly get a lesson in what slashing spending really means — and they won’t be happy. That’s basically the wall Obamacare repeal has just smashed into. And the same thing will happen if this Trump whatever-it-is turns into an actual budget.

As Krugman notes, people hate spending on generic bureaucracy, but they will not support deep cuts to federal programs that protect the environment and feed the hungry.

* TRUMP AND MERKEL SET TO DISCUSS CLIMATE: Trump and German Chancellor Angela Merkel are set to meet today, and look what’s on the agenda:

Merkel … is likely to press Trump for assurances of support for a strong European Union and a commitment to fight climate change. … A U.S. official said the Trump administration’s position on U.S. participation in the Paris agreement to curb climate change would likely come up in the Merkel meeting and be further clarified in the weeks and months ahead.

Administration officials have battled internally over the Paris climate accord. Bannon is against it and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is for it, so clarifying its position will be valuable.

March 8, 2017 - U.S. Voters Say Sessions Lied And Should Resign, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Support For Immigrant 'path To Citizenship' At New High
PDF format
Additional Trend Information
Sample and Methodology detail

American voters say 52 - 40 percent that U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions lied under oath during his confirmation hearings and say 51 - 42 percent that he should resign, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

Voters disapprove 54 - 32 percent of the way President Donald Trump is handling U.S. policy towards Russia, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

American voters support 66 - 30 percent an "independent commission investigating potential links between some of Donald Trump's campaign advisors and the Russian government." The only listed party, gender, age or racial group opposed is Republicans, opposed 64 - 30 percent.

A total of 61 percent are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about President Trump's relationship with Russia. A total of 62 percent of voters say alleged Russian interference in the 2016 election is a "very important" or "somewhat important" issue.

Healthcare should be President Trump's top priority, 36 percent of voters say, while 30 percent list infrastructure; 16 percent list taxes and 15 percent list immigration.

American voters say 51 - 45 percent that Trump should not support efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Trump and Republicans in Congress should repeal parts of the ACA, 49 percent of voters say, while 27 percent say there should be no repeal and 21 percent say repeal all of the ACA.

"The gavel comes down hard on Attorney General Jeff Sessions," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"He lied and he should quit because of it, say Americans, who are clearly very concerned about the Russian affair and all the administration personnel involved with it."

It is "very important" that health insurance be affordable for all Americans, 84 percent of voters say, while 12 percent say it is "somewhat important."

A total of 44 percent of voters are "very confident" or "somewhat confident" that Republicans in Congress will replace Obamacare with something as good or better, while 54 percent are "not so confident" or "not confident at all."

Immigration

Illegal immigrants should be allowed to remain in the U.S. and eventually become citizens, 63 percent of American voters say, the highest level of support for this option since Quinnipiac University began asking the question in 2012.

Another 11 percent say illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay, but not become citizens, and 23 percent say they should not be allowed to stay.

Only illegal immigrants who have committed a serious crime should be deported, 55 percent of voters say, while 21 percent say deport illegal immigrants who have committed any crime. All illegal immigrants should be deported, 19 percent say, while 3 percent say no immigrants should be deported.

There are wide gender, racial and party divisions as American voters oppose 51 - 42 percent suspending immigration from "terror prone" regions. Men are divided 48 - 47 percent, as women oppose the suspension 55 - 36 percent. White voters are divided 47 - 47 percent, with non-white voters opposed 61 - 29 percent. Republicans back the suspension 80 - 14 percent, with Democrats opposed 79 - 13 percent and independent voters opposed 53 - 41 percent.

American voters support 90 - 8 percent increased federal spending for infrastructure, but oppose 51 - 45 percent a $54 billion increase in defense spending.

Transgender Students

Public schools should allow transgender students to use bathrooms and locker rooms consistent with their gender identity, 48 percent of voters say, with 45 percent opposed. There is a wide gender gap, as women support the idea 55 - 37 percent, with men opposed 54 - 39 percent.

From March 2 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,283 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

5. Is your opinion of Jeff Sessions favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 23% 51% 3% 22% 31% 16% 26% 30% Unfavorable 43 8 72 43 38 47 51 28 Hvn't hrd enough 33 40 24 33 30 35 22 41 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Favorable 11% 21% 29% 33% 39% 19% 28% 11% Unfavorable 45 43 45 37 33 45 39 51 Hvn't hrd enough 44 36 25 28 27 36 32 35 REFUSED - - 1 2 1 1 1 2
28. As you may know, President Trump has mentioned several issues that are priorities for him as president. Which of the following issues should President Trump focus on first: healthcare, taxes, infrastructure, or immigration?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Healthcare 36% 38% 37% 35% 31% 41% 31% 38% Taxes 16 18 12 16 16 15 16 15 Infrastructure 30 11 42 33 33 27 38 24 Immigration 15 31 5 14 18 13 11 21 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Healthcare 44% 26% 35% 42% 27% 41% 34% 41% Taxes 11 22 14 15 17 14 16 16 Infrastructure 30 33 33 23 32 30 31 26 Immigration 14 17 14 17 21 12 16 13 DK/NA 2 2 4 3 2 4 3 3
33. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the nation's policy toward Russia?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 32% 72% 4% 29% 41% 25% 27% 49% Disapprove 54 11 87 56 48 60 59 35 DK/NA 14 17 9 15 11 16 14 16 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Approve 23% 34% 36% 35% 48% 29% 38% 18% Disapprove 62 52 53 49 40 53 47 71 DK/NA 14 13 11 16 12 18 15 11
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the nation's policy toward Russia?
App Dis DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 32 54 14 Feb 22, 2017 31 57 13
34. As president, do you think Donald Trump should - lower taxes on the wealthy, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 21% 41% 8% 18% 26% 16% 21% 26% No 74 51 91 76 70 78 74 69 DK/NA 5 8 2 5 4 6 5 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 11% 22% 23% 25% 30% 17% 23% 13% No 83 73 74 69 65 77 71 83 DK/NA 6 5 3 7 5 6 5 4
TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should - lower taxes on the wealthy, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 21 74 5 Feb 23, 2017 18 76 6 Nov 23, 2016 29 67 4
35. As president, do you think Donald Trump should - lower taxes on businesses and corporations, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 45% 74% 22% 45% 53% 39% 44% 51% No 49 20 72 49 43 54 50 42 DK/NA 6 6 7 6 5 8 6 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 33% 48% 46% 51% 56% 40% 47% 39% No 61 46 48 40 39 52 46 56 DK/NA 6 5 6 9 5 8 6 5
TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should - lower taxes on businesses and corporations, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 45 49 6 Feb 23, 2017 43 50 6
36. As president, do you think Donald Trump should - remove regulations on businesses and corporations, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 36% 67% 12% 33% 48% 25% 37% 44% No 53 22 77 57 45 60 54 46 DK/NA 11 11 11 10 7 15 9 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 25% 36% 40% 41% 55% 27% 41% 24% No 65 52 51 45 40 59 50 62 DK/NA 9 12 9 14 5 14 10 14
TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should remove regulations on businesses and corporations, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 36 53 11 Feb 23, 2017 34 54 12 Feb 08, 2017 39 49 12 Jan 12, 2017 39 51 10 Nov 23, 2016 38 48 14
37. As president, do you think Donald Trump should - remove specific regulations intended to combat climate change, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 29% 60% 10% 26% 36% 23% 27% 39% No 62 27 84 66 58 66 67 51 DK/NA 9 13 7 8 6 11 6 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 22% 32% 29% 33% 41% 26% 33% 18% No 73 61 62 52 54 63 59 73 DK/NA 5 7 9 14 6 11 8 9
TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should remove specific regulations intended to combat climate change, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 29 62 9 Feb 23, 2017 27 63 10 Feb 08, 2017 29 61 10 Jan 12, 2017 32 59 9 Nov 23, 2016 31 59 9
38. As president, do you think Donald Trump should - support efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 45% 87% 13% 45% 52% 39% 42% 63% No 51 10 83 51 45 56 56 33 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 3 5 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 40% 46% 45% 51% 61% 45% 52% 29% No 60 53 50 43 37 51 44 66 DK/NA 1 1 5 7 2 4 3 5
TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should - support efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 45 51 4 Feb 23, 2017 43 54 3 Feb 08, 2017 46 50 4 Jan 12, 2017 48 47 5
39. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A) Stay/Citizenship 63% 36% 84% 64% 54% 71% 64% 52% B) Stay/Not citizen 11 15 8 10 13 9 12 9 C) Not stay 23 43 7 22 29 17 20 34 DK/NA 4 6 1 4 4 4 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht A) Stay/Citizenship 77% 59% 62% 58% 49% 66% 58% 75% B) Stay/Not citizen 8 11 11 13 12 9 10 12 C) Not stay 14 28 22 23 35 20 27 12 DK/NA 1 3 5 5 4 4 4 2
TREND: Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
Stay/ Sty/Not Not Citizen Citizen Stay DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 63 11 23 4 Jan 12, 2017 59 9 25 6 Nov 23, 2016 60 12 25 4 Link to full trend on website
40. In your opinion, has the Trump administration been too aggressive in deporting immigrants who are here illegally, not aggressive enough, or has the Trump administration been acting appropriately when it comes to deporting immigrants who are here illegally?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too aggressive 49% 6% 81% 52% 41% 56% 51% 31% Not aggressive enough 9 18 2 8 12 6 8 13 Acting appropriately 38 71 12 36 44 32 37 52 DK/NA 5 4 5 3 3 6 5 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Too aggressive 58% 50% 47% 41% 32% 48% 41% 69% Not aggr. enough 4 14 7 11 14 6 10 6 Acting appropriately 34 31 42 42 50 39 45 21 DK/NA 4 5 4 6 3 6 5 4
41. Thinking about people who have immigrated to the U.S. illegally, who do you think should be deported: should no illegal immigrants be deported, only illegal immigrants that have committed a serious crime, only illegal immigrants that have committed any crime, or should all illegal immigrants be deported?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No No immigrants 3% - 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% Only serious crime 55 31 77 52 51 58 56 41 Only any crime 21 30 11 24 23 20 24 25 All immigrants 19 34 7 18 21 16 15 30 DK/NA 2 4 1 2 2 3 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht No immigrants 5% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% Only serious crime 64 48 53 54 44 53 49 69 Only any crime 18 19 25 22 27 23 25 13 All immigrants 11 27 18 19 26 19 22 11 DK/NA 2 2 3 3 1 2 2 4
TREND: Thinking about people who have immigrated to the U.S. illegally, who do you think should be deported: should no illegal immigrants be deported, only illegal immigrants that have committed a serious crime, only illegal immigrants that have committed any crime, or should all illegal immigrants be deported?
Serious Any None Crime Crime All DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 3 55 21 19 2 Feb 23, 2017 3 53 22 19 3
42. How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very accepting 12% 20% 8% 10% 12% 12% 11% 11% Somewhat accepting 51 52 51 50 48 52 52 52 Not so accepting 25 16 31 25 26 24 30 21 Not accepting at all 8 5 8 11 9 7 4 8 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 5 4 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very accepting 11% 14% 11% 10% 12% 10% 11% 15% Somewhat accepting 48 53 50 52 51 53 52 46 Not so accepting 27 24 27 22 25 27 26 25 Not accepting at all 11 7 7 8 7 5 6 13 DK/NA 3 2 4 9 5 5 5 2
43. Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good thing 41% 13% 62% 41% 35% 46% 51% 30% Bad thing 14 31 4 14 15 14 11 20 Not much difference 42 53 33 42 47 37 35 47 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Good thing 50% 48% 39% 28% 33% 47% 41% 41% Bad thing 6 15 15 18 17 14 15 13 Not much difference 41 37 44 49 48 35 41 44 DK/NA 3 1 2 4 3 4 3 3
44. Do you think President Trump and the Republicans in Congress should repeal all of the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, should repeal parts of the healthcare law but keep other parts, or should not repeal any of the Affordable Care Act?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Repeal all 21% 50% 3% 16% 24% 18% 19% 31% Repeal parts 49 42 45 58 49 49 51 50 Should not repeal 27 3 51 24 25 29 29 16 DK/NA 3 5 1 2 2 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Repeal all 18% 23% 21% 22% 29% 22% 25% 13% Repeal parts 48 50 50 48 50 50 50 45 Should not repeal 31 27 26 25 19 25 22 38 DK/NA 3 1 2 4 2 3 2 4
TREND: Do you think President Trump and the Republicans in Congress should repeal all of the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, should repeal parts of the healthcare law but keep other parts, or should not repeal any of the Affordable Care Act? (*President-elect)
Repeal Repeal Not All Parts Repeal DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 21 49 27 3 Jan 27, 2017 16 51 30 3 Jan 12, 2017* 18 47 31 4
45. If Congress decides to repeal Obamacare, do you think that Congress should repeal Obamacare as soon as possible even if they have not decided on a plan to replace it, or should they wait to repeal Obamacare until they have a plan to replace it?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Repeal now 10% 21% 2% 9% 13% 8% 9% 14% Wait to repeal 87 77 93 89 84 89 88 84 DK/NA 3 2 5 3 3 3 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Repeal now 9% 10% 13% 8% 14% 10% 12% 7% Wait to repeal 89 86 84 89 85 87 86 89 DK/NA 2 4 3 2 1 3 2 4
TREND: If Congress decides to repeal Obamacare, do you think that Congress should repeal Obamacare as soon as possible even if they have not decided on a plan to replace it, or should they wait to repeal Obamacare until they have a plan to replace it?
Now Wait DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 10 87 3 Jan 27, 2017 13 84 2
46. How important is it to you that health insurance be affordable for all Americans; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very important 84% 68% 98% 86% 79% 89% 82% 79% Somewhat important 12 26 1 10 15 10 14 17 Not so important 2 3 - 2 3 1 2 2 Not important at all 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very important 88% 82% 83% 83% 75% 87% 81% 91% Somewhat important 8 14 13 13 19 12 15 6 Not so important 3 2 2 1 4 1 2 2 Not important at all - 2 1 1 2 - 1 1 DK/NA - - 2 2 1 1 1 1
TREND: How important is it to you that health insurance be affordable for all Americans: very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
Very Smwht NotSo NotImp Imp Imp Imp Atall DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 84 12 2 1 1 Jan 27, 2017 84 12 2 1 -
47. If your U.S. Senator or Congressperson votes to repeal Obamacare, will that make you more likely to vote for their reelection, less likely to vote for their reelection, or won't it matter much either way?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More likely 28% 62% 6% 23% 32% 24% 25% 39% Less likely 42 5 74 41 36 48 50 28 Won't matter 27 30 17 33 29 25 23 30 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht More likely 20% 30% 29% 30% 36% 29% 33% 16% Less likely 49 44 41 38 33 44 39 51 Won't matter 28 24 25 28 29 24 27 27 DK/NA 3 2 5 4 2 2 2 5
TREND: If your U.S. Senator or Congressperson votes to repeal Obamacare, will that make you more likely to vote for their reelection, less likely to vote for their reelection, or won't it matter much either way?
More Less Won't Likely Likely Matter DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 28 42 27 3 Jan 27, 2017 24 43 29 4
48. How confident are you that the Republicans in Congress will replace Obamacare with a health care law that is as good or better than Obamacare; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very confident 21% 54% 3% 17% 24% 19% 18% 33% Somewhat confident 23 36 9 26 24 22 21 32 Not so confident 20 5 30 22 18 23 23 15 Not confident at all 34 3 57 35 32 36 38 19 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very confident 16% 20% 22% 25% 28% 23% 25% 11% Somewhat confident 20 17 25 28 28 25 26 15 Not so confident 21 27 20 15 17 21 19 23 Not confident at all 41 36 33 29 27 30 28 49 DK/NA 1 - 1 3 1 1 1 1
TREND: How confident are you that the Republicans in Congress will replace Obamacare with a health care law that is as good or better than Obamacare: very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
Very Smwht Not so Not Confdt Confdt Confdt Confdt DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 21 23 20 34 1 Feb 23, 2017 21 25 18 34 2
49. How concerned are you about climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 46% 6% 73% 49% 41% 50% 49% 35% Somewhat concerned 25 32 19 26 25 25 23 25 Not so concerned 14 30 4 11 14 14 14 18 Not concerned at all 15 30 2 13 20 10 13 21 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very concerned 53% 44% 46% 41% 36% 48% 42% 55% Somewhat concerned 20 28 25 25 23 25 24 26 Not so concerned 17 11 12 16 18 14 16 9 Not concerned at all 9 16 16 18 23 12 17 9 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - 1 1 -
TREND: How concerned are you about climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
Very Smwht NotSo Not Concern Concern Concern Concern DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 46 25 14 15 1 Feb 08, 2017 44 28 12 14 - Jan 27, 2017 44 30 14 12 - Jan 12, 2017 45 29 14 13 1 Nov 23, 2016 37 31 15 16 1 Link to full trend on website
50. Do you think the United States is doing enough to address climate change, doing too much, or do you think more needs to be done to address climate change?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Doing enough 18% 35% 7% 17% 20% 17% 18% 23% Doing too much 19 38 3 20 25 14 20 26 More to be done 59 22 87 60 54 64 59 46 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 2 5 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Doing enough 15% 19% 19% 19% 22% 19% 21% 13% Doing too much 14 19 22 21 30 16 23 10 More to be done 71 59 55 53 46 58 53 74 DK/NA - 2 4 7 2 6 4 3
TREND: Do you think the United States is doing enough to address climate change, doing too much, or do you think more needs to be done to address climate change?
Doing Doing MoreTo Enough TooMuch BeDone DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 18 19 59 4 Feb 08, 2017 17 18 59 5
52. Do you support or oppose increasing federal spending for roads, bridges, mass transit and other infrastructure?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 90% 90% 90% 91% 92% 88% 92% 94% Oppose 8 7 7 8 6 9 6 5 DK/NA 2 3 3 1 2 3 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 85% 89% 93% 93% 94% 93% 93% 83% Oppose 12 9 5 5 4 6 5 13 DK/NA 4 3 2 2 2 1 2 4
TREND: Do you support or oppose increasing federal spending for roads, bridges, mass transit and other infrastructure?
Sup Opp DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 90 8 2 Feb 23, 2017 87 10 3 Feb 08, 2017 89 9 2 Nov 23, 2016 83 15 2
53. Do you support or oppose increasing federal spending for the Defense Department by about 54 billion dollars?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 45% 84% 17% 41% 51% 39% 40% 60% Oppose 51 11 77 54 46 54 56 36 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 3 6 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 31% 42% 48% 54% 58% 43% 50% 31% Oppose 64 55 47 37 40 51 46 63 DK/NA 4 4 4 8 2 6 4 6
54. Do you support or oppose reducing taxes across the board?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 58% 82% 39% 58% 62% 54% 49% 67% Oppose 37 16 55 37 35 39 46 29 DK/NA 5 1 6 5 3 7 5 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 51% 63% 60% 57% 62% 55% 58% 55% Oppose 45 31 37 35 35 39 37 39 DK/NA 4 5 3 8 3 6 5 6
54a. Do you support or oppose reducing taxes across the board? (If support q54) If the tax reductions caused an increase in the deficit, would you still support reducing taxes across the board, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support even if incr deficit 29% 48% 14% 29% 30% 27% 25% 34% Support only if not incr deficit 26 28 22 27 28 23 22 29 Oppose 37 16 55 37 35 39 46 29 DK/NA 8 7 9 7 6 10 7 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support even if incr deficit 24% 32% 30% 30% 32% 27% 29% 26% Support only if not incr deficit 24 30 27 23 28 24 26 26 Oppose 45 31 37 35 35 39 37 39 DK/NA 7 7 6 12 6 10 8 9
55. Do you think public schools should allow transgender students to use bathrooms and locker rooms that are consistent with the gender they identify with or don't you think so?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 48% 15% 77% 47% 39% 55% 56% 34% No/Should not 45 79 16 45 54 37 36 60 DK/NA 8 6 8 8 7 8 8 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Should 57% 53% 45% 40% 36% 54% 45% 54% No/Should not 36 41 48 50 59 38 48 38 DK/NA 7 6 8 11 5 8 7 8
56. Do you support or oppose suspending immigration from "terror prone" regions, even if it means turning away refugees from those regions?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 42% 80% 13% 41% 48% 36% 37% 58% Oppose 51 14 79 53 47 55 59 36 DK/NA 7 5 8 6 5 8 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 32% 46% 43% 46% 56% 39% 47% 29% Oppose 64 50 51 41 41 53 47 61 DK/NA 4 5 6 13 3 7 5 9
TREND: Do you support or oppose suspending immigration from "terror prone" regions, even if it means turning away refugees from those regions?
Sup Opp DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 42 51 7 Feb 22, 2017 43 49 8 Feb 07, 2017 44 50 6 Jan 12, 2017 48 42 10 Nov 23, 2016 50 44 6
57. How concerned are you about President Trump's relationship with Russia; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 41% 4% 71% 40% 33% 48% 43% 25% Somewhat concerned 20 21 18 21 20 20 22 21 Not so concerned 16 27 6 16 19 14 14 22 Not concerned at all 22 45 5 22 28 16 20 30 DK/NA 1 4 - 1 1 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very concerned 40% 39% 44% 41% 26% 42% 34% 57% Somewhat concerned 24 22 15 19 21 22 21 17 Not so concerned 21 16 15 14 20 17 18 11 Not concerned at all 13 22 26 25 33 17 25 15 DK/NA 3 - 1 1 1 3 2 1
TREND: How concerned are you about President Trump's relationship with Russia: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
Very Smwht NotSo Not Concern Concern Concern Concern DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 41 20 16 22 1 Feb 23, 2017 42 22 16 18 2
58. Do you think that the alleged Russian interference in the 2016 election is a very important issue, a somewhat important issue, a not so important issue, or not an important issue at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very important 42% 7% 71% 42% 36% 48% 45% 30% Somewhat important 20 20 20 20 16 23 19 19 Not so important 12 22 3 11 14 10 12 13 Not important at all 23 47 4 23 31 16 20 33 DIDN'T INTERFERE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 2 DK/NA 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Very important 38% 41% 47% 42% 30% 45% 38% 55% Somewhat important 32 21 13 17 16 22 19 21 Not so important 16 8 12 11 13 12 13 8 Not important at all 12 24 25 27 37 18 27 14 DIDN'T INTERFERE(VOL) - 3 1 1 2 2 2 - DK/NA 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 2
TREND: Do you think that the alleged Russian interference in the 2016 election is a very important issue, a somewhat important issue, a not so important issue, or not an important issue at all?
Very Smwht NotSo NotImp DIDN'T Imp Imp Imp Atall INTRFR DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 42 20 12 23 1 2 Feb 23, 2017 47 18 12 20 1 2 Jan 30, 2017 47 20 11 19 1 2
59. Do you support or oppose an independent commission investigating the potential links between some of Donald Trump's campaign advisors and the Russian government?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 66% 30% 88% 70% 62% 69% 70% 55% Oppose 30 64 9 27 36 25 27 42 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 2 5 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 72% 71% 64% 59% 58% 66% 63% 73% Oppose 22 26 33 38 40 29 35 20 DK/NA 7 2 3 4 1 4 3 6
60. As you may know, during his Cabinet confirmation hearing, U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions stated that he did not have any communications with Russian officials while working with the Trump campaign. It has since been revealed that he did meet with the Russian ambassador when he was a Senator on the Armed Services Committee and a top advisor for the Trump campaign. Do you think he lied under oath about this issue, or do you think he made an unclear statement without lying?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Lied under oath 52% 14% 83% 53% 44% 59% 49% 40% Unclear statement 40 76 12 38 49 32 42 51 DK/NA 8 10 5 9 7 9 9 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Lied under oath 64% 52% 49% 45% 37% 51% 44% 70% Unclear statement 28 39 44 49 56 37 46 24 DK/NA 8 9 7 6 7 12 9 6
61. Do you think Jeff Sessions should resign over this matter or should he remain as U.S. Attorney General?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Resign 51% 11% 83% 52% 44% 58% 50% 36% Remain 42 80 12 42 52 33 43 56 DK/NA 7 8 5 6 4 9 6 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Resign 60% 52% 49% 45% 37% 49% 43% 70% Remain 31 42 46 50 60 40 50 23 DK/NA 9 7 5 5 3 10 7 7
62. Which of the following statements best describes your view of U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions' actions in this matter: he did something illegal, he did something unethical, but nothing illegal, or he did not do anything seriously wrong?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Illegal 34% 4% 58% 33% 29% 38% 35% 22% Unethical/Not illegl 29 27 35 28 27 31 26 32 Not seriously wrong 30 61 4 31 38 22 32 39 DK/NA 7 9 4 8 6 8 7 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Illegal 41% 31% 36% 28% 24% 32% 28% 46% Unethical/Not illegl 34 35 26 26 25 32 29 32 Not seriously wrong 14 28 34 41 46 27 36 15 DK/NA 11 6 4 6 4 9 7 7
65. Do you think Donald Trump should publicly release his tax returns, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 67% 32% 95% 65% 60% 72% 68% 54% No 29 59 3 30 33 24 27 40 DK/NA 5 9 2 5 6 4 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 73% 65% 66% 64% 55% 67% 61% 81% No 22 32 29 29 39 29 34 15 DK/NA 5 2 5 7 6 4 5 4
TREND: Do you think Donald Trump should publicly release his tax returns, or not?
Yes No DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 67 29 5 Feb 23, 2017 68 27 5
66. Do you support or oppose a review of President Trump's finances to identify possible conflicts of interest that may interfere with his job as president?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 66% 31% 88% 68% 61% 70% 68% 55% Oppose 30 62 9 28 35 26 29 41 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 5 4 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 73% 67% 63% 59% 56% 66% 61% 76% Oppose 21 32 32 36 40 30 35 18 DK/NA 6 2 4 5 3 4 4 5
TREND: Do you support or oppose a review of President Trump's finances to identify possible conflicts of interest that may interfere with his job as president? (*President-elect)
Sup Opp DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 66 30 4 Jan 26, 2017 70 27 3 Jan 10, 2017* 72 22 6
67. Since President Trump's election, have you become more politically active, less politically active, or are you just as politically active as before?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 34% 29% 46% 30% 29% 39% 34% 32% Less 4 4 5 4 5 3 3 4 Same 61 67 48 66 66 57 63 64 DK/NA - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht More 38% 36% 36% 26% 25% 40% 33% 37% Less 6 5 4 2 5 2 4 6 Same 55 59 59 71 69 58 64 56 DK/NA - - 1 1 - - - 1
TREND: Since President Trump's election, have you become more politically active, less politically active, or are you just as politically active as before?
More Less Same DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 34 4 61 - Feb 23, 2017 35 3 61 1
68. Have you recently become more interested in attending town hall meetings with your U.S. Senator or Congressperson, less interested, or are you just as interested in attending those meetings as before?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 28% 10% 42% 28% 26% 29% 30% 20% Less 11 12 10 10 8 13 7 12 Same 60 76 45 61 64 55 61 65 DK/NA 2 2 3 1 2 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht More 31% 30% 28% 21% 22% 28% 25% 34% Less 5 10 11 12 8 11 10 13 Same 62 59 58 62 69 58 63 50 DK/NA 2 - 3 5 2 2 2 3
70. When it comes to presidential elections, which do you believe is the biggest problem: voter fraud, voter suppression, or outside interference?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Voter fraud 33% 62% 10% 31% 38% 28% 28% 45% Voter suppression 34 9 57 32 32 35 38 25 Outside interference 26 20 27 29 22 29 26 21 DK/NA 8 10 6 7 7 8 8 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Voter fraud 29% 34% 32% 35% 42% 32% 36% 24% Voter suppression 42 37 31 26 30 32 31 40 Outside interference 24 25 28 27 21 26 24 32 DK/NA 5 4 9 12 7 10 9 4
TREND: When it comes to presidential elections, which do you believe is the biggest problem: voter fraud, voter suppression, or outside interference?
Voter Voter Outside Fraud Supprn Intrfrn DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 33 34 26 8 Feb 23, 2017 31 33 28 7 Feb 08, 2017 30 33 29 7
71. Does the election of Donald Trump make you feel more safe, less safe, or just as safe as you did before?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More safe 28% 71% 2% 24% 32% 25% 25% 42% Less safe 49 4 86 47 39 57 52 33 Just as safe 23 24 12 29 29 18 22 26 DK/NA - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht More safe 15% 26% 32% 37% 38% 29% 34% 14% Less safe 54 50 48 43 33 51 42 63 Just as safe 31 24 20 19 29 19 24 22 DK/NA - - 1 1 - - - 1
TREND: Does the election of Donald Trump make you feel more safe, less safe, or just as safe as you did before?
More Less JustAs Safe Safe Safe DK/NA Mar 08, 2017 28 49 23 - Feb 23, 2017 27 51 21 1 Feb 08, 2017 33 50 16 1 Jan 26, 2017 28 45 26 1 Jan 10, 2017 27 45 27 1 Nov 22, 2016 29 39 32 1

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